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HUMANITY DOOMSDAY CLOCK - Moves forward to 2125 due to election of US President trump.

Estimate of the time that Humanity will go extinct or civilization will collapse. The HUMANITY DOOMSDAY CLOCK moves forward to 2125 due to US President trump's abandonment of climate change goals. Clock moved to 90 seconds to doom at December 2023. Apologies to Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists for using the name.

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Saturday, August 1, 2020

Our Future Under trump

 

Dystopian USA 2021

It is worth gaming out future scenarios for the US in the unlikely event trump installs himself as President, even though he will probably lose the vote. 

After all, he has installed Barr, Pompeo and others to help him stay in office. 

So, what will the country look like under trump?

Most Americans will assume that he has cheated his way into office - 80% of Americans think the country is going in the wrong direction today.

November and December see an increase in peaceful protests involving BLM, Wall of Moms, Veterans, Antifa and others after trump declares the election invalid and seizes power. The government responds by increasing violence against the protestors. Thousands are jailed. Major portions of most cities are locked down due to demonstrations and DHS secret police activity.

US COVID deaths exceed 500,000 by June. Vaccine approved in March and government approves price to Americans of $1,000 per shot; proceeds go to Corporation after receiving exclusive license to vaccine for $1.00.

US invades Guatemala, occupies country, sells Guatemalan oil reserves to Russian company for $1.00

The US economy enters free fall as the government fails to address unemployment and evictions. The dollar loses value. [It has already declined 10% against other currencies since March 2020.] The good news is US exports surge; the bad news is foreign goods become more expensive in the US.  Millions are evicted. Homelessness and hunger increase. GDP falls by 30% and unemployment reaches 25%. 

The government responds by allocating billions of dollars for relief, but the money goes directly to corporations while failing to address hunger and unemployment. This has already happened with Mnuchin secretly directing billions to corporations from the COVID relief programs and away from the sick and poor. New programs suffer the same fate.

By the summer of 2021, the peaceful protests continue and increase in size and severity. A splinter group of protestors including veterans targets the properties of trump, his cabinet members, and other billionaires for systematic arson in an attempt to reduce their comfort. Mar a Logo and Trump Tower are torched first. Several people die. 

A subset of the splinter group undertakes the assassination of Russian oligarchs in the US. Those thugs want to control the US government so they can receive the proceeds of relief programs while failing to provide the services they agree to provide. This is exactly what happened in S. Petersburg in the 1990's when Putin ran the city. [PUTIN'S PEOPLE, Catherine Belton, 2020, Farrar, Strauss and Giroux]

Treasury bills issued to cover the deficits now carry higher interest rates since investors begin to doubt the stability of the government. The higher interest costs destabilize the Federal Budget and the US seeks to borrow money from the IMF to pay for Social Security and Medicare. The IMF requires that the budget be balanced with the result of mass government layoffs, reduced or canceled pensions, unemployment rates of 30% and increasing suicides. 

None of this will happen if Biden is President. 

Tuesday, July 28, 2020

Revised Demonstration Strategy



Current demonstrations in Portland, Seattle, Oakland and elsewhere play into trump's election strategy. While both the rage and wish to send away federal troops are justifiable, broadcast cell phone videos on television of violent acts helps him justify troops' acting in defense of 'law and order'. That claim can justify martial law and overturn the election results. 

Perhaps it will be more effective to have the corporate CEO's apply pressure to the White House in favor of removing troops. 

We can do that. 

Since the West Coast ports are points of entry for goods shipped to corporations from Asia, perhaps demonstrators can impede those shipments. Once corporations see their bottom lines impacted, they may encourage a more peaceful resolution.

Demonstrations, which block train and truck traffic from collecting shipments for delivery to their customers, will be noticed immediately. 

Here's where: 

It seems that truck traffic enters the Port of Oakland through Martin Luther King, Jr. west of the Embarcadero. Demonstrators blocking that intersection would slow down the transit of goods from the port to the rest of the country.

Similarly, the main line for eastbound container train traffic crosses Bancroft Avenue in Berkeley at street level. Blocking that intersection also would slow down shipments.

The Oakland Airport can be shut down by blocking Airport drive west of Doolittle and west of Ron Cowan where the road splits to circle the parking lot. But, the airport is less critical to freight and thus less damaging to corporate CEO's. 

Probably there are similar locations in Portland, Seattle, Long Beach and other ports. 

Here's how:

A good method of blocking traffic might be to conduct a single day, 12 hour blocking of the truck terminal at MLK and Embarcadero, perhaps from 2 am until 2 pm. A similar, single day 12 hour blocking of train traffic two days later might be useful as well. Cars parked in the intersections and on the tracks will ensure disruption. Setting the cars on fire is an option. 

Once established, the blockades can be made longer and more frequent in order to pressure trump against any future martial law considerations. 

It would be wise to notify police of the impending action so they would know it was of limited duration. That might reduce the incidence of violence. 

About the Federal buildings: I say, let the feds have them; continuing to protest there will be met by rising troop levels with possible injury and death.