Look at the math.
1. It is almost impossible to be sure of totals. Pundit BS aside, it is confusing.
2. Per demconwatch.blogspot.com HRC has 1274 committed including 241 supers, to BO's 1371 incl 183 supers.
3. Add 55% of Texas and Ohio to HRC/45% to BO changes totals to 1458 HRC and 1521 BO - Texas/Ohio no doubt critical here.
4. Add 50% of uncommitted supers AND Florida and Michigan totals to each brings totals to 1798 HRC to 1740 BO with some 677 delegates to come.
Conclusion: there is no clear winner here if HRC polls 55% in Texas and Ohio and Florida and Michigan are added; there are 677 more to come from PA/RI/WY/MS/GUAM/INDIANA/NC/WVA/KY/SoD/ AND PR.
Even reversing the math to give BO 55% of TX and OH and 45% to HRC gives a final total of 1764 for HRC to 1774 to BO.
THIS A DEAD HEAT
Clearly it is time for the adults to take over. We cannot give McCain a 90 day headstart while we bicker.
Wednesday, February 27, 2008
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