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HUMANITY DOOMSDAY CLOCK - Moves forward to 2125 due to election of US President trump.

Estimate of the time that Humanity will go extinct or civilization will collapse. The HUMANITY DOOMSDAY CLOCK moves forward to 2125 due to US President trump's abandonment of climate change goals. Clock moved to 90 seconds to doom at December 2023. Apologies to Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists for using the name.

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Tuesday, May 12, 2020

Exiting the New Recession: Monetary Policy Limitations




Perhaps it is time to reconsider the economic theory underlying monetary policy. Keynes General theory suggests lowering interest rates will incentivize businesses to invest and the additional Aggregate Demand will lower unemployment. 

A study of interest rate history questions that assumption:

‘C o n c l u s i o n s
Interest  rates  have  generally  been  high  and  rising during  periods  of rapid  economic  expansion  and have been  low  and  declining  during  periods  of  economic contraction.  Exceptions have occurred, such as the un­usually  high  rates  during  the  first  year  of the  1920-21economic  contraction,  the  sharp  upward movement of rates  during  the  depression  in  1931,  and  the  comparatively  low  rates  during  the  period  of  heavy  demand for  goods  and  services  during  and  immediately  fol­lowing World War II.

According to  a popular belief,  proper economic sta­bilization  action  calls  for  relatively  high  and  rising interest  rates  during  periods  of  rapid  expansion,  es­pecially  when  output  is  pressing the limits  of produc­tive  capacity  and  prices  are  rising.   Conversely,  it  is generally  thought  that  lower  rates  are  desirable  in periods  of insufficient and declining demand for goods and  services.   According  to  this  view,  interest  rates have  behaved  in  a  stabilizing  fashion during the  past half century,  except for a few atypical periods.

Proper  interest  rate  policy,  however,  may  be  much more  complicated  than  merely  determining  that  rates are  rising  during periods  of  strong  economic  advance and  inflation  or  declining  during  periods  of  substantial  and  rising  unemployment.   Questions  arise  as  to how much interest rates need to change under various conditions,  what  should  be  the  relation  among  rates on  loans  of various maturities,  the  influence of factors other  than  monetary  actions,  and  lags  in  the effect  of changes in interest rates on economic activity.’  


+++++++++++++++++++++++++++

I think lowering interest rates and printing more money most likely will not change economic activity without an increase in consumer demand.

Total bank deposits rose to about 80% of GDP in 2008 and have stayed there. That may reflect a two-tier economy rather than any other economic fundamental. Recovery requires more spending and less savings.




Units:  Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency:  Annual
The total value of demand, time and saving deposits at domestic deposit money banks as a share of GDP. Deposit money banks comprise commercial banks and other financial institutions that accept transferable deposits, such as demand deposits.
Suggested Citation:
World Bank, Bank Deposits to GDP for United States [DDOI02USA156NWDB], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DDOI02USA156NWDB, May 12, 2020

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 Consumption spending as a share of GDP remained rose above 67.5% during the recent expansion. It rose from less than 60% to the 67.5% range over several years between 1965 and 2010.



Units:  Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency:  Quarterly
BEA Account Code: DPCERE

For more information about this series, please see http://www.bea.gov/national/.

Suggested Citation:

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Shares of gross domestic product: Personal consumption expenditures [DPCERE1Q156NBEA], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DPCERE1Q156NBEA, May 12, 2020.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

We can expect a reduction in consumer spending as unemployment rises and millions of families lose incomes. Thus, increasing money supply while interest rates are at or below the historic Liquidity Preference threshold of 3% will not do much to stimulate an expansion.

It’s likely that both GDP and consumption will fall together in a new recession.

It is also likely that a GDP expansion requires an increase in consumer real incomes. The path to recovery lies in raising consumer incomes through more worker friendly labor laws, higher marginal tax rates to fund budget expenditures and other measures to raise consumers’ real incomes above their current level.
  

Tuesday, May 5, 2020

United States Fiscal Policy


The United States can borrow an apparently unlimited supply of trillions of dollars at low interest costs. Treasury notes, known as T Bills, sell easily to expand the USA's debt. Federal budget deficits create a need to borrow when federal expenditures exceed income tax receipts. 

T Bill buyers can be private American or foreign citizens, foreign or domestic banks and central banks in other countries. Lenders or buyers of T Bills like them for several reasons. The full faith and credit of the United States guarantees them. Many private buyers and sellers compete in a secondary market for the Bills assuring a quick conversion to cash if needed. Up until now, the USA has managed the issuance of debt consistently in line with underlying economic fundamentals. Buyers can buy very large amounts when they need to park billions or trillions of dollars. 

T Bill buyers may demand higher interest rates if the USA is less able to manage its Federal budget. Other countries experience this regularly. Those countries sometimes seek loans from the IMF to fund a deficit. 

Either paying higher interest rates or seeking an IMF loan will cause real budget problems. 

Our ability to borrow lots of money at a low cost depends on our lenders' opinion about our fiscal management. 

The current pandemic may interfere with this market. That could cause a budget crisis. That crisis might result in higher taxes and reduced Social Security pensions. 

Summary of our fiscal position:



Saturday, May 2, 2020

Biden Dirty Tricks Bureau - 2



Let's deflect negative attacks with Reagan and Putin playbook.

" Oh that? Well, there he goes again. It's not accurate and I'll have a complete statement tomorrow. But don't forget

1. Obstruction of justice
2. Impeachment
3. Stormy Daniels
4. Putin
5. Russians
6. Deutsche Bank
7. Epstein
8. Tax Returns
9. Covid 19 failures
10. Bankruptcy
11. Family profiteering
12. etc., etc., etc..."

Thursday, April 30, 2020

Biden Dirty Trick Bureau



The campaign will be dirty. Putin, the Cock Brothers and the rest are desperate. 

A campaign of creating unity among all Americans is a great idea, but Joe also needs a two-prong defense against the attacks, which will come.

Expect a swift boat type attack or Comey style statement - some one or several claims close to the election which inflame emotions.

First step: Immediate categorical denial, followed by the Reagan masterful line: 'There he goes [or they go] again' which Joe delivers with a little grin. That phrase and the grin serve to trivialize the attack. 

In 24 hours or sooner, a press release with a detailed, thorough and accurate statement is issued debunking the claim. Object of lengthy detail is to overwhelm the press with too much information so they will drop the story. A plain denial with no exhaustive detailed recitation of facts will keep the story alive.

And, create an archive of 45's indiscretions with [ideally] video of the injured party in each and every event combined with thorough detailed discussion of the entire story. The object of the detail is exhaustive detailed recitation of facts to overwhelm any counter claims. 

45 has injured so many people the stories need to be grouped into categories, i.e., criminal fraud, rape, pedophilia, failure to honor contracts, etc., etc.

Then Joe has a library of 'what about' style things to distribute in order to deflect the conversation.

It is what 45 does all the time: "What about immigration/', or' What about Obama?'


Tuesday, April 28, 2020

Biden Food Bank



Joe - We face a starvation situation soon. 

We have zero national leadership. That vacuum will kill people.

You have lots of talented folks with you.

Please task them to coordinate a national food bank in all states.

Will make no difference if your name is on it or not.

Just do it now.

For all Americans.

Monday, April 27, 2020

Saving Lives by Saving Hospitals


Many remotely located hospitals and nursing homes are failing financially. But we need them to continue treating patients in order that the United States can secure public health and contain Covid 19.

Proposed reorganization:

The county Health Officer determines which facilities are necessary in the county.

Those necessary but financially failing facilities submit an application to the county certifying their income and expenses and balance sheet with a list of facilities and patients.

The Health Officer approves the application and forwards it to the Federal Agency, appropriate agency to be designated. 

The Federal government offers to support each necessary facility for the duration of the crisis provided that the facility sells all its assets to the Federal government for $1.00 or re-organizes as a non profit 501(c)3 organization.

County Health Officer will determine whether each facility is still required after the crisis passes. Each necessary facility will continue to receive support while any facility not deemed necessary is sold. 

Sunday, April 26, 2020

STRIKE: Rent and Loan Holiday



One of the problems our American economy we will face soon is the effects of the rise in unemployment on working people.

With very high unemployment will come misery and death due to banks' probable unwillingness to adjust their loans and their reliance on traditional foreclosure, eviction and other unspeakable behaviors.

Unemployed people lose incomes and have trouble paying their bills. Some will become homeless because they can't pay rent or loan payments.

Now is the time for a national Rent and Loan Holiday

Don't pay your rent or loan, even if still employed. Live secure because you did nothing wrong and Americans help each other. All Americans should take a holiday from rent and/or mortgage payments for twelve months. And, evictions, repossession and other legal steps should be prohibited for the same period.

Housing costs are a big share of most family expenses. After losing a job and with no other income many will choose between food and shelter. Many will choose to become homeless rather than starve.

Spending can increase when housing is secure for a year.

Imposing misery is not the American way. Americans don't abandon unfortunate people, instead we come together to help all of us survive.

If the economy recovers at the end of the year banks can add the missed payments onto the end of the loan.

Renters should have the same rights, no rent for a year. If the landlord has a mortgage he won't be harmed since the loan will be on holiday.

At the end of the year, borrowers receive an option to renegotiate or sell their property. Homeowners whose houses have declined in market value can start with a new loan at the lowered market value. Their original down payment applies to the new loan and the new loan will be for the new value.

Banks will lose some income but their principal remains since they retain a lien against the property. When prices decline they will retain their relative purchasing power with no real loss.

Friday, April 24, 2020

Biden Campaign Living Room Chats


This is a request and a suggestion that V. P. Biden begin a series of informal chats broadcast on national television with the purpose of reassuring the American population. The country has a vacuum of leadership at a time of national peril: we need a reassuring voice now.

These chats may or may not help in the election, but times are so critical that Americans need the chats. The overarching theme might be this: 'We are not Blue or Red, we are family. We are the American family and we are all in this together.'

Perhaps schedule 3 to 5 hour long chats per week, on television as soon as possible. 

Envision a camera on Joe and Jill seated in their real living room with grandkids and pets free to roam during the show. 

Joe speaks: 'Good evening my Fellow Americans. These are troubled times for all our American family. I am asking for your support and your efforts to help me fix many of the issues we face. We can fix them if we face them together as a family.

It is harder to fix problems when we are divided. I will tell you this: I don't usually agree with Republican ideas, but if they have a good idea that will help our whole family, I will support it. I will work with all the people in our private sectors and governments at the local, state and national level to find real solutions no matter where they come from. 

One of the best things about our family is that we care for all of us - we don't leave people behind to suffer. So I am asking you all to join me and help all our family in the coming years. 

There is nothing - nothing at all - that a united America can’t fix. 

So, Jill, what do you think is an important issue to talk about today?'

Jill speaks: ‘Well Joe, we could talk about the pandemic and how to fix the hospital system, but for today why don’t we talk for a little bit about the conditions of our essential working people and their families - the people who care for us in hospitals, deliver our groceries and drive our buses and trains. A lot of our essential workers are having a hard time now and I'm sure they’d like to hear what you want to do for them'

Joe: 'Thanks Jill, that's a good idea.

Well I have a long history of helping working people get a better life and my heart has always been with them and their families. 

In fact I have a specific plan to help working people, And the man who helped me write that plan, Austin Schimmerflots, is here to explain it to everybody. In addition, not only that, we have tonight Mary and Bob Smith and their two kids to give us all a view of how life is for them today. They're on a remote camera in their home
and I'll ask them to listen to Austin's presentation and ask him questions later.

So Mary, can you and Bob tell us a little about your lives right now?' 

Mary: ' Thanks Joe. Well, I’m an ER nurse in Queens and I work 10 to 12 hour days taking care of people with advance Covid 19. The hardest part of my job is holding the hand of a patient who is dying while he makes the transition. As you know, families cannot be with the severely ill and they die alone except for me. Sometimes I just cry.'

Bob: 'I see how all this affects Mary. It's really hard. She doesn't have enough PPE and I think she may have the virus, but the hospital doesn’t have enough tests to give so we're not sure. I lost my job a few weeks ago and there isn’t any work. Mary's check isn’t enough to cover our costs and I think we can't pay the rent next week.'

Joe; 'Wow, that's hard for you right now. I am hoping we can put some real money into your hands soon to ease the pressures. I will work really hard to make that happen. 

For the long term, we have a very specific action plan to improve the lives of all the workers in our American family. Austin, can you tell us the main points our plan is designed to do and then maybe answer Mary and Bob's questions about it?'

Austin then describes the plan in general with zero visual aids, just him talking to Mary and Bob....

end.







Wednesday, April 22, 2020

A Plan for Joe Biden




Congratulations on your election.



The good news is that you are guaranteed to be a better POTUS than 45. That's true even if you do nothing. Nothing at all.

You know the bad news.

Now we need a Nationally coordinated Covid 19 response, for all of us. We also need a National Food Bank. And, somehow unbreakable legislation to curtail Presidential powers to bypass Constitutional restraints and Balance of Powers. 

Below's a plan to address some of the immediate issues. The assumption is that you have both Houses of Congress for at least 2 years. You have to move quickly and do all this in 24 months since you may see a backlash.

1. No pardon for trump. Evict him in handcuffs if needs be. Let the Legal process proceed.

2. Fire every trump appointee, Every. Single. One. Offer interested Obama appointees re-instatement.

3. Reverse all executive actions. Every. Single. One.

4. Nationalize the PPE, ventilator and vaccine efforts. Make sure that the public sees all decisions.

5. Re-install a real Glass-Steagal and separate depositary banks from investment banks. Depositary institutions cannot make investments and investment banks cannot take deposits.

6. Declare a 12 month holiday from all loan payments with the payments added to the back.

7. Forgive all student loans.

8. Jail a few criminal bankers - no fines.

9. Request the FED to let the insolvent banks fail. The system is too badly off to even notice. Guarantee all deposits if FDIC isn't enough.

10. Create a health insurance program that covers ALL residents - we all are as sick as the poorest. Take for-profit-providers and insurance companies out of business. Re-organize as non-profit or nationalize them.

11. Pay for the costs with tax increases to Pre-Reagan era and T Bills.

12. Install confiscatory estate tax - oligarchic families are one of our biggest problems and that means Gates and Bezos among others.

13. Repair and re-coordinate defense plans with NATO and other alliances. Present a unified front to Russia and China.

14. Enforce sanctions on thug Russians.

15. Create office of national Planning: object to ensure future jobs and prevent hostile takeover son US businesses.

16. Create humane and law-abiding immigration after releasing all caged people.

17. Manage the coming Hunger Pandemic with world governments and the UN.

18. And, make all oil, electricity, internet providers, cell phone and other utility like businesses subject to Public Utility regulation of rates and profits.  

You would do worse than reading my United States Class War Field Manual book here:  

https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B07NKVSQ6B/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i4


Hunger Pandemic Coming, Soon





London (CNN)

The world is facing multiple famines of "biblical proportions" in just a matter of months, the UN has said, warning that the coronavirus pandemic will push an additional 130 million people to the brink of starvation.

Famines could take hold in "about three dozen countries" in a worst-case scenario, the executive director of the World Food Programme (WFP) said in a stark address on Tuesday. Ten of those countries already have more than 1 million people on the verge of starvation, he said.

He cited conflict, an economic recession, a decline in aid and a collapse in oil prices as factors likely to lead to vast food shortages, and urged swift action to avert disaster.

"While dealing with a Covid-19 pandemic, we are also on the brink of a hunger pandemic," David Beasley told the UN's security council. "There is also a real danger that more people could potentially die from the economic impact of Covid-19 than from the virus itself."

The WFP had already warned that 2020 would be a devastating year for numerous countries ravaged by poverty or war, with 135 million people facing crisis levels of hunger or worse. Their updated projections nearly double that number.

The coronavirus pandemic could threaten global food supply, UN warns

When added to the 821 million people already chronically hungry, that scenario would push more than 1 billion people into dire situations.

The agency identified 55 countries most at risk of being plunged into famine in its annual report on food crises, released this week, warning that their fragile healthcare systems will be unable to cope with the impact of the virus.

"These countries may face an excruciating trade-off between saving lives or livelihoods or, in a worst-case scenario, saving people from the coronavirus to have them die from hunger," the report said.

Ten countries were singled out as particularly at-risk, after housing the worst food crises last year; Yemen, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Afghanistan, Venezuela, Ethiopia, South Sudan, Sudan, Syria, Nigeria and Haiti.

Most of those countries have so far been spared the worst of the coronavirus pandemic, with the epicenter moving from China to Europe to North America, but the state of their healthcare institutions means even relatively small outbreaks could be devastating. To date, more than 2.5 million cases of the coronavirus have been confirmed globally.

'We do not have time on our side'

Even before the outbreak of the coronavirus, food supplies in some of the most vulnerable regions in the world were being directly affected by impacts such as crop failures and locust swarms.

Exceptional drought followed by extremely heavy rainfall markedly decreased the seasonal crop yield in the Horn of Africa during 2019. These irregular weather and climate patterns also contributed to the worst desert locust invasion in 25 years, which further threatened the crop supply in the region.

Meanwhile, the combination of conflict, climate-related shocks and crop pests had resulted in the world's worst food crisis in Yemen, according to the agency.

A large refugee camp on the Syrian side of the border with Turkey.

The new, coronavirus-related factors affecting each region were myriad. "Lockdowns and economic recession are expected to lead to a major loss of income among the working poor," Beasley said. Overseas remittances will also drop sharply, affecting countries such as Haiti, Nepal, and Somalia, for example.

"The loss of tourism receipts will damage countries such as Ethiopia (and) the collapsing oil prices in lower-income countries like South Sudan will have an impact significantly," he added.

He appealed to UN member states to act now, telling them: "There are no famines yet. But I must warn you that if we don't prepare and act now -- to secure access, avoid funding shortfalls and disruptions to trade -- we could be facing multiple famines of biblical proportions within a short few months.

"The truth is, we do not have time on our side, so let's act wisely -- and let's act fast," he added. "I do believe that with our expertise and partnerships, we can bring together the teams and the programs necessary to make certain the Covid-19 pandemic does not become a humanitarian and food crisis catastrophe."



Monday, April 13, 2020

Reality Sit Rep - trump



Economy is f*cked.

It's your fault.

Feds cannot fix economy with existing tools by November.

You will lose election.

Covid 19 deaths are your fault.

FOR THE LOVE OF GOD, STOP KILLING OUR PARENTS AND GRANDPARENTS

Get testing nationally - just get it done.

Force banks to have mercy on late mortgage payments.

Guarantee all employees will receive 80% of their monthly salary for one year.

No more of this $1,200 total - it's B. S.

Install national stay at home order - NOW

Sunday, April 12, 2020

The Essential American Idea



The Founders wrote the Constitution to ensure that no tyrant could rule the country - that any unlawful actions he might take are checked by the will of the people.

In America, sovereignty resides with the will of the People and not with God or with force. 

In practice, this means that we are ruled by laws. Our laws are created with the consent of the people expressed through their elected representatives. 

Today, several trends supported by our enemies are working to destroy the implementation of the will of the people and the rule of law.

In order for the will of the people to be effective, the people rely on facts about governmental actions. In order to learn the facts, we rely on a Free Press to tell us the truth. 

Now, some brainwashed politicians in service to Russian propaganda are systematically attacking the very ideas of a fact and of the Free Press. If many people believe that the Free Press is lying or creating 'fake news' then they will be unable to check any illegal actions taken by a tyrant. 

Alternate media reports opinions and rumors as facts and contributes to the erosion of belief in real, verified facts. Mainstream media makes sincere efforts to verify any fact before they publish it. We need the Mainstream Media to give us the facts. 

We hope that the alternate media attempts to erode trust in any facts will be ignored. That alternate media supports fear, racism, cynicism and mistrust of our institutions in service of Russian propaganda. 

Just Die - GOP Health Plan Working


I will try to frame this idea in terms that even a brainwashed GOP Representative, Senator or Judge can grasp.

My fellow American. When your wife goes to the grocery store, she is waited on by clerks and shelf stockers who do not have health insurance. These same folks must work even when they are sick because they have no savings and no paid sick days.

There is a very good chance that one of these clerks actually has non-symptomatic Covid 19 today.

There is an equally good chance that your wife has received the virus from her shopping trip. Perhaps she also has non-symptomatic Covid 19.

If she has it then you also have it.

And, since you are an old white man, there is a good chance that you will die alone with no family while on a ventilator in a hospital attended to by nurses and doctors with Covid 19.

That will continue until and unless we adopt a universal health care system so that all Americans can stay healthy and not infect us all through uninsured and ill people.


Wednesday, April 8, 2020

Biden Stump Rally

Hello everybody!

Jill and I are really glad that you are here. It's great to see my friends and fellow Democrats.

We all know that America is in a dark place right now. Fear and hate and division have combined with a preventable pandemic to make us question who we are.

Here's my answer WE ARE AMERICANS!

We want to be in the light!

We want to be together!

It will not be easy to heal our country and take it back from the fear mongers.

We can do it!

Together!

Together we can do anything!

I can't do it by myself. But if you will help me, we CAN end the nightmare.

Join me in uniting our country again.

I know where we want to go, and I need you to help me figure out the exact steps we need to get there.

Americans want to fix immigration, wage and wealth inequality, infrastructure, public corruption - the list goes on. And I HAVE A PLAN FOR EACH MAJOR PROBLEM.

Read them at JOEBIDEN.COM

You know, Ronald Reagan actually gave a good speech once. I think it was his last speech. He said that immigrants are the best thing for the country. Only people born in Poland can be Polish and only people born in Russia can be Russians, but anybody can be an American! Just join us and complete the process and you can be naturalized as a Citizen. Then you ARE an American.

This our heritage.

A heritage of decency, respect, cooperation, and, yes, love.

I need your help in winning this election and putting us back on the AMERICAN WAY!!






Thursday, April 2, 2020

Greed Kills. Punish Greed.



Greed Kills.

The current pandemic of Covid 19 demonstrates the failure of the United States 'free market' based capitalism.  The system is based on the premise that when people are allowed to accumulate as much wealth and capital as possible, the system will provide for everybody.

It does not work.

Wealth concentrations have prevented our society from taking care of the poor and marginalized. If you have any doubts, walk among the homeless in any city or go to the unemployment insurance office.

Our future will depend on how well we as a nation address the stark inequalities we tolerate now.

Punish greed.

At the least, the greed which harms our people should be punished. The material accumulations which exist today must be eliminated to ensure our people will live. If we do not eliminate those accumulations, our people will die, or they will demand a strong leader to correct the imbalances. Such a course risks the personal freedoms we enjoy today. 

Allow the greedy an amount of capital that will ensure them a moderate life - say $100 million per family - then take the rest. Confiscate the money, tax it, wipe out the bank accounts, put it in trucks and drive away.

Only then can we focus on protecting all Americans.




Saturday, March 21, 2020

Tidal Wave of Death and Destruction is Coming Soon


I write this reluctantly, with a heavy heart.

A tidal wave of death and destruction is approaching. It will arrive in the United States somewhere between 60 and 270 days from this March, or between June and October. It will persist many months after its arrival.

It will be followed by a flood of unemployment, business failure, misery, poverty and despair that will last for many years. Americans have no experience of this level of misery. We can see it in the refugee camps in Syria.

The danger is that a populist 'strong' man may arise by promising that he can fix everything; since he arises by blaming 'others' for our misery, he may lead the country into a world war.

The more insidious danger is that Americans will accept a fatal reduction of their political rights to secure a phantom 'security'. The security of the United States has always been guaranteed by our freedoms and rights enshrined in the Constitution. We are less secure when any freedom is diminished, especially freedom of the press.

The tidal wave will create very large numbers of deaths - we can expect many weeks of more than 500 United States deaths per day from the virus. The medical system will be unable to cope with the numbers and will cease functioning.

Many of the deaths were preventable but are now assured because trump has failed to take any actions beyond those which may benefit his political future. History will judge him as criminally negligent and thus responsible for the deaths of hundreds of thousands or perhaps millions of Americans.

The flood of recession and depression will persist for decades. It is likely that any relief proffered will benefit only the rich among us; this will have the effect of destroying any middle class for good and ensuring a two tier society.

Hear Ralph Stanley sing about Death here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Q-QH1XiCQw




Sunday, March 8, 2020

Putin Dumps MBS to Start a War on America’s Shale Oil Industry

'At 10:16 a.m. on a wet and dreary Friday morning, Russia’s energy minister walked into OPEC’s headquarters in central Vienna knowing his boss was ready to turn the global oil market upside down.

Alexander Novak told his Saudi Arabian counterpart Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman that Russia was unwilling to cut oil production further. The Kremlin had decided that propping up prices as the coronavirus ravaged energy demand would be a gift to the U.S. shale industry. The frackers had added millions of barrels of oil to the global market while Russian companies kept wells idle. Now it was time to squeeze the Americans.'

Bloomberg News
Ilya Arkhipov, Will Kennedy, Olga Tanas and Grant Smith
March 7, 2020, 9:27 AM PST

LINK: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-07/putin-dumps-mbs-to-start-a-war-on-america-s-shale-oil-industry

Tuesday, March 3, 2020

Dear Republican Friends



You may be a little disappointed with the President. After all, he is a politician.

The best thing you can do in November is to boycott the election.

No need to vote for a Democrat, just sit this one out.

Let the process work.  

Monday, February 24, 2020

THIS WAR IS REAL - LET'S FIGHT !!!!!!!!!!!!!



Putin's Russia is attacking our elections and infrastructure systematically with military assets.

We have weapons. Let's use them. Choose your time Commanders, and do your duty.

Now, we are standing down and giving the ground to our enemy.

POTUS serves our enemy.

Patriots protect the Constitution and the Homeland.

Fight for the country, history will judge your actions - or lack of actions.

Monday, February 17, 2020

Political Murders in Russia - Putin

Putin's history of political murders should make Americans think very carefully about accepting anything from Putin:

Murders by Putin: A Brief History of Putintime, La Russophobe

March 1997

45-year-old former KGB agent Vladimir Putin (pictured, left) is plucked from obscurity out of the St. Petersburg local government apparatus by President Boris Yeltsin and named Deputy Chief of Staff. In June, he defends his PhD dissertation in “strategic planning” at St. Petersburg’s Mining Institute. Later, this document proves to have been plagiarized from a KGB translation of work by U.S. professors published many years earlier (as if nobody would notice, and in fact for quite a while nobody did).

July 1998
In a second inexplicable move, Yeltsin names Putin head of the KGB (now called the FSB).

November 1998
 Less than four months after Putin takes over at the KGB, opposition Duma Deputy Galina Starovoitova (pictured, right), the most prominent pro-democracy Kremlin critic in the nation, is murdered at her apartment building in St. Petersburg. Four months after that, Putin will play a key role in silencing the Russian Attorney General, Yury Skuratov, who was investigating high-level corruption in the Kremlin, by airing an illicit sex video involving Skuratov on national TV. Four months after the dust settles in the Skuratov affair, Putin will be named Prime Minister.

August 1999
Completing a hat trick of bizarre spontaneous promotions, proud KGB spy Putin is named by Yeltsin Prime Minister of Russia. Almost immediately, Putin orders a massive bombing campaign against the tiny, defenseless breakaway republic of Chechnya, apparently seeing the reassertion of Russian power there as key to overall resurgence of Russia’s military and state security apparatus, his primary political objective. On August 26th, he’s forced to acknowledge the horrific consequences of the bombing. Hundreds of civilians are killed and tens of thousands are left homeless as civilian targets are attacked. World opinion begins to turn starkly against Russia, especially in Europe, very similarly to the manner in which it has polarized against U.S. President George Bush over Iraq. Putin’s poll numbers in Russia begin to slide.

September 1999
An apartment building in the Pechatniki neighborhood of Moscow is blown up by a bomb. 94 are killed. Less than a week later a second bomb destroys a building in Moscow’s Kashirskoye neighborhood, killing 118. Days after that, a massive contingent of Russian soldiers is surrounding Chechnya as public opposition to the war evaporates. On October 1st, Putin declares Chechen president Aslan Maskhadov and his parliament illegitimate. Russian forces invade.

New Year’s Eve, 1999
Boris Yeltsin resigns the presidency of Russia, handing the office to Putin in order to allow him to run as an incumbent three months later. Given the pattern of bizarre promotions Putin has previously received, the move is hardly even surprising. So-called “experts” on Russia scoff at the possibility that Putin could be elected, proclaiming that, having tasted freedom, Russia can “never go back” to the dark days of the USSR.

March 2000
Despite being the nominee of a man, Yeltsin, who enjoyed single-digit public approval ratings in polls, Vladimir Putin is elected “president” of Russia in a massive landslide (he wins nearly twice as many votes as his nearest competitor). Shortly thereafter, all hell breaks loose in Chechnya. Russia will ultimately be convicted of human rights violations before the European Court for Human Rights and condemned for its abuses of the civilian population by every human rights organization under the sun.

[Between April 2000 and March 2002, Russia plunges into a nightmarish conflict in Chechnya eerily similar to what America now faces in Iraq. Opposition journalists, especially those who dare to report on what it going on in Chechnya, suddenly start dying. In 2000 alone, reporters Igor Domnikov, Sergey Novikov, Iskandar Khatloni, Sergey Ivanov and Adam Tepsurgayev are murdered — not by hostile fire in Chechnya but in blatant assassinations at home in Russia. On June 16, 2001, at a press conference in Brdo Pri Kranju, Slovenia, President Bush is asked about Putin: “Is this a man that Americans can trust?” Bush replies: “I will answer the question. I looked the man in the eye. I found him to be very straightforward and trustworthy. We had a very good dialogue. I was able to get a sense of his soul; a man deeply committed to his country and the best interests of his country. And I appreciated so very much the frank dialogue.”]

 April 2003
Sergei Yushenkov, co-chairman of the Liberal Russia political party (pictured, left), is gunned down at the entrance of his Moscow apartment block. Yushenkov had been serving as the vice chair of the group known as the “Kovalev Commission” which was formed to informally investigate charges that Putin’s KGB had planted the Pechatniki and Kashirskoye apartment bombs to whip up support for the Putin’s war in Chechnya after the formal legislative investigation turned out to be impossible. Another member of the Commission, Yuri Shchekochikhin (see below) will perish of poisoning, a third will be severely beaten by thugs, and two other members will lose their seats in the Duma. The Commission’s lawyer, Mikhail Trepashkin (see below) will be jailed after a secret trial on espionage charges. Today, virtually none of the members of the Commission are left whole and it is silent.

May 2003
Putin’s popularity in opinion polls slips below 50% after sliding precipitously while the conflict in Chechnya became increasingly bloody. Suddenly, he begins to appear vulnerable, and oil billionaire Mikhail Khodorkovsky begins to be discussed as one who could unseat him. All hell breaks loose in Russian politics.

 July 2003
Yuri Shchekochikhin (pictured, right), a vocal opposition journalist and member of the Russian Duma and the Kovalev Commission, suddenly contracts a mysterious illness. Witnesses reported: “He complained about fatigue, and red blotches began to appear on his skin. His internal organs began collapsing one by one. Then he lost almost all his hair.” One of Shchekochikhin’s last newspaper articles before his death was entitled “Are we Russia or KGB of Soviet Union?” In it, he described such issues as the refusal of the FSB to explain to the Russian Parliament what poison gas was applied during the Moscow theater hostage crisis, and work of secret services from the former Soviet republic of Turkmenistan, which operated with impunity in Moscow against Russian citizens of Turkoman origin. According to Wikipedia: “He also tried to investigate the Three Whales Corruption Scandal and criminal activities of FSB officers related to money laundering through the Bank of New York and illegal actions of Yevgeny Adamov, a former Russian Minister of Nuclear Energy. This case was under the personal control of Putin. In June of 2003, Shchekochikhin contacted the FBI and got an American visa to discuss the case with US authorities. However, he never made it to the USA because of his sudden death on July 3rd. The Russian authorities refused to allow an autopsy, but according to Wikipedia his relatives “managed to send a specimen of his skin to London, where a tentative diagnosis was made of poisoning with thallium” (a poison commonly used by the KGB, at first suspected in the Litvinenko killing).

October 2003
Assaults on the enemies of the Kremlin reach fever pitch as the election cycle begins. Within one week at the end of the month, two major opposition figures are in prison.

 October 22, 2003
Mikhail Trepashkin (pictured, right), a former KGB spy and the attorney for the Kovalev Commission, is arrested for illegal possession of a firearm (which he claims was planted in his vehicle). Also retain to represent some of the victims of the apartment bombings theselves, Trepashkin allegedly uncovered a trail of a mysterious suspect whose description had disappeared from the files and learned that the man was one of his former FSB colleagues. He also found a witness who testified that evidence was doctored to lead the investigation away from incriminating the FSB. The weapons charge against Trepashkin mysteriously morphs into a spying charge handled by a closed military proceeding that is condemned by the U.S. government as being a blatant sham, and Trepashkin is sent to prison for four years. Publius Pundit reported on Trepashkin’s plight back in early December of last year.

 October 25, 2003

Just as the presidential election cycle is beginning, Khodorkovsky (pictured, left) is arrested at the airport in Novosibirsk. He will be tried and convicted for tax fraud and sent to Siberia, just like in the bad old days of the USSR, in a show trial all international observers condemn as rigged (his lawyer has documented the legal violations in a 75-page treatise). He is there today, now facing a second prosecution for the same offense. His company, YUKOS, is being slowly gobbled up by the Kremlin.

March 2004
With Khodorkovsky conveniently in prison and the Kovalev Commission conveniently muzzled, Vladimir Putin is re-elected “president” of Russia, again in a landslide despite his poll numbers. He faces no serious competition from any opposition candidate. He does not participate in any debates. He wins a ghastly, Soviet-like 70% of the vote. Immediately, talk begins of a neo-Soviet state, with Putin assuming the powers of a dictator. The most public and powerful enemies of the regime start dropping like flies.

 June 2004
Nikolai Girenko (pictured, left), a prominent human rights defender, Professor of Ethnology and expert on racism and discrimination in the Russian Federation is shot dead in his home in St Petersburg. Girenko’s work has been crucial in ensuring that racially motivated assaults are classified as hate crimes, rather than mere hooliganism, and therefore warrant harsher sentences — as well as appearing as black marks on Russia’s public record.

 July 2004
Paul Klebnikov (pictured, right), editor of the Russian edition Forbes magazine, is shot and killed in Moscow. Forbes has reported that at the time of his death, Paul was believed to have been investigating a complex web of money laundering involving a Chechen reconstruction fund, reaching into the centers of power in the Kremlin and involving elements of organized crime and the FSB (the former KGB).

 September 2004
Viktor Yushchenko, anti-Russian candidate for the presidency of the Ukraine, is poisoned by Dioxin. Yushchenko’s chief of staff Oleg Ribachuk suggests that the poison used was a mycotoxin called T-2, also known as “Yellow Rain,” a Soviet-era substance which was reputedly used in Afghanistan as a chemical weapon. Miraculously, he survives the attack.

[Throughout the next year, a full frontal assault on the media is launched by the Kremlin. Reporters Without Borders states: “Working conditions for journalists continued to worsen alarmingly in 2005, with violence the most serious threat to press freedom. The independent press is shrinking because of crippling fines and politically-inspired distribution of government advertising. The authorities’ refusal to accredit foreign journalists showed the government’s intent to gain total control of news, especially about the war in Chechnya.”]

 September 2006
Andrei Kozlov (pictured, left), First Deputy Chairman of Russia’s Central Bank, who strove to stamp out money laundering (basically acting on analyses like that of reporter Klebnikov), the highest-ranking reformer in Russia, is shot and killed in Moscow. Many media reports classify Kozlov’s killing as “an impudent challenge to all Russian authorities” and warn that “failure to apprehend the killers would send a signal to others that intimidation of government officials is once again an option.” Less considered is the possibility that Kozlov, like Klebnikov, was on the trail of corruption that would have led into the Kremlin itself, which then lashed out at him preemptively assuming he could not be bought.

 October 2006
Anna Politkovskaya (pictured, right), author of countless books and articles exposing Russian human rights violations in Chechnya and attacking Vladimir Putin as a dictator, is shot and killed at her home in Moscow. In her book Putin’s Russia, Politkovskaya had written: “I have wondered a great deal why I have so got it in for Putin. What is it that makes me dislike him so much as to feel moved to write a book about him? I am not one of his political opponents or rivals, just a woman living in Russia. Quite simply, I am a 45-year-old Muscovite who observed the Soviet Union at its most disgraceful in the 1970s and ’80s. I really don’t want to find myself back there again.” Analysts begin to talk openly of Kremlin complicity in the ongoing string of attacks. Washington Post columnist Anne Applebaum writes: “Local businessmen had no motivation to kill her — but officials of the army, the police and even the Kremlin did. Whereas local thieves might have tried to cover their tracks, Politkovskaya’s assassin, like so many Russian assassins, did not seem to fear the law. There are jitters already: A few hours after news of Politkovskaya’s death became public, a worried friend sent me a link to an eerie Russian Web site that displays photographs of ‘enemies of the people’ — all Russian journalists and human rights activists, some quite well known. Above the pictures is each person’s birth date and a blank space where, it is implied, the dates of their deaths will soon be marked. That sort of thing will make many, and probably most, Russians think twice before criticizing the Kremlin about anything.”

 November 2006
Alexander Litvinenko (pictured, left), KGB defector and author of the book Blowing up Russia, which accuses the Kremlin of masterminding the and Pechatniki and Kashirskoye bombings in order to blame Chechen terrorists and whip up support for an invasion of Chechnya (which shortly followed), is fatally poisoned by radioactive Polonium obtained from Russian sources. Litivinenko had given sensational testimony to the Kovalev Commission and warned Sergei Yushenkov that was a KGB target). In his last days Litvinenko himself, as well as other KGB defectors, including Oleg Kalugin, Yuri Shvets and Mikhail Trepashkin (who allegedly actually warned Litvinenko that he had been targeted before the hit took place) directly blamed the Kremlin for ordering the poisoning. Recent press reports indicate that British investigators have come to the same conclusion. With Litvinenko out of the picture, the only member of the Kovalev Commission left unscathed is its 77-year-old namesake chairman, dissident Sergei Kovalev — who has grown notably silent.

March 2007
On Sunday February 25th, the American TV news magazine Dateline NBC aired a report on the killing of Litvinenko. MSNBC also carried a report. The reports confirmed that British authorities believe Litvinenko perished in a “state-sponsored” assasination. In the opening of the broadcast, Dateline highlighted the analysis of a senior British reporter and a senior American expert on Russia who knew Litvinennko well. Here’s an excerpt from the MSNBC report:

Daniel McGrory, a senior correspondent for The Times of London, has reported many of the developments in the Litvinenko investigation. He said the police were stuck between a rock and a hard place. “While they claim, and the prime minister, Tony Blair, has claimed nothing will be allowed to get in the way of the police investigation, the reality is the police are perfectly aware of the diplomatic fallout of this story,” McGrory said. “Let’s be frank about this: The United States needs a good relationship with Russia, and so does Europe,” said Paul M. Joyal, a friend of Litvinenko’s with deep ties as a consultant in Russia and the former Soviet states. Noting that Russia controls a significant segment of the world gas market, Joyal said: “This is a very important country. But how can you have an important relationship with a country that could be involved in activities such as this? It’s a great dilemma.”

 Five days before the broadcast aired, shortly after he was interviewed for it, McGrory was dead. His obituary reads “found dead at his home on February 20, 2007, aged 54.” Five days after the broadcast aired, Joyal (pictured, right) was lying in a hospital bed after having been shot for no apparent reason, ostensibly the victim of a crazed random street crime.  He was returning home after having dinner with KGB defector Oleg Kalugin, and had been an aggressive advocate for Georgian independence from Russian influence.  The attack remains unsolved.

CONCLUSION: Did the Kremlin have anything to do with either Joyal’s or McGrory’s fates, or is it just coincidence that both were struck down within days of giving statements directly blaming the Kremlin for Litvinenko’s killing to the American press? Would the Kremlin really be so brazen as to attack an American for speaking in America? Whether it did not not is almost beside the point: the thing you can’t see is always scarier than the thing you can. The Kremlin is now positioned to turn random accidents into weapons. Appelbaum sums it up: “As Russian (and Eastern European) history well demonstrates, it isn’t always necessary to kill millions of people to frighten all the others: A few choice assassinations, in the right time and place, usually suffice. Since the arrest of oil magnate Mikhail Khodorkovsky in 2003, no other Russian oligarchs have attempted even to sound politically independent. After the assassination of Politkovskaya on Saturday, it’s hard to imagine many Russian journalists following in her footsteps to Grozny either.”


January 2009
 On January 19, 2009, Russian human rights attorney Stanslav Markelov (pictured, right) was shot in the back of the head with a silenced pistol as he left a press conference at which he announced his intention to sue the Russian government for its early release of the Col. Yuri Budanov, who murdered his 18-year-old client in Chechnya five years earlier. Also shot and killed was Anastasia Barburova, a young journalism student who was working for Novaya Gazeta and who had studied under Anna Politkovskaya, reporting on the Budanov proceedings.

July 2009

On July 14, 2009, leading Russian human rights journalist and activist Natalia Estemirova (pictured, left), a single mother of a teenaged daughter, was abducted in front of her home in Grozny, Chechnya, spirited across the border into Ingushetia, shot and dumped in a roadside gutter.  Viewed as the successor to Anna Politkovskaya and by far the most prominent living critic of Chechen strongman Ramzan Kadyrov, who had repeatedly threatened her life, Estemirova was a member of the “Memorial” human rights NGO and a steadfast defender of human rights in Chechnya.  Most recently, she had been reporting on the barbaric practice of the government in burning down the homes of rebel activists, often with women and children locked inside.






Political Murders in Russia - Stalin