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HUMANITY DOOMSDAY CLOCK - Russian Aggression in Ukraine moves Clock to 2145

Estimate of the time that Humanity will go extinct or civilization will collapse. The HUMANITY DOOMSDAY CLOCK moves to 2145 due to Russian aggression in Ukraine and the demise of the Peace Treaty. Apologies to Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists for using the name.


While this material is copyrighted, you are hereby granted permission and encouraged to copy and paste any excerpt and/or complete statement from any entry on this blog into any form you choose. In return, please provide explicit credit to this source and a link or URL to the publication. Email links to

You may also wish to read and quote from these groundbreaking essays on economic topics with the same permission outlined above

The Jobs Theory of Growth []

Moral Economics []

Balanced Trade []

There Are Alternatives to Free Market Capitalism []

Specific Country Economic Policy Analyses - More Than 50 Countries from Argentina to Yemen []


Tuesday, March 17, 2015

INQUISITION 6 : Reflections on Old Age

Recently, someone asked me this question: 'What is it like being an old man?'

Well, I was about to say that I don't know.

Then, it hit me.

They probably think I AM an old man; after all, I am 74 and was born in 1941.

So maybe my life IS what it's like to be old.

I'm not sure because I don't have time to dwell on it. But, I'll try.

If you don't mind some personal stuff, I'll try to answer that question below using my life as a metaphor


One thing I realize is that people my age are the luckiest people on the planet. We have it all - good climate, incredible choices about life – I live in the San Francisco Bay Area of California - security so far from most of the terrorist attacks, good medical care, the list can go on and on.

But, there is the nagging concern and regret about the world we will leave our grandchildren.


When I was about 35 years old, I decided what to do with my life. It was this: re-write economic theory so that history 100 years in the future would remember my contribution.

So, I took a year off and moved to a cabin in the semi-civilized woods of Mendocino County and wrote a book about economic theory. Then, good friend Dave Alcott [who had been a reporter for UPI in Europe I met on the Queen Mary in 1963] read my book and said, in essence, that my book was crap.

That was a blow from a respected friend. Not only was my book crap but, additionally, I was a nobody. You can get crap published if you are 'Somebody', but it is harder if you're a nobody.

There I was with my life's ambition in tatters around me.

Nevertheless, the ideas were sound, so I rewrote them into a list of 34 specific polices national governments could follow to ensure economic growth. Then I made a website and had some of my students write an analysis of their home country's performance on each policy. Now I have published more than 50 such country studies and continue to add countries and analysis revisions each semester. You can read them at

The kids do some amazing work. My country studies are as good as anybody's, maybe better since they avoid politics and focus on economics.

That meant my life's ambition was realized, so I planned to relax and take life easy.


When I was a kid I liked playing baseball, so I started playing again at age 50.

Playing baseball allows me to hang out with other old men; they are mostly white with a few African Americans and other assorted mongrels.

We are mostly athletic and play competitive baseball - same rules as the major leaguers, but the game is a lot slower - slower throwing and running. The best thing about the game is that your ability is very visible but your ancestry is invisible. No one cares where you came from if you can hit or pitch. Just leave your attitude at home - the bench is close quarters.

A lot of the guys used to play professionally at different levels and still love the game, as we all do, even the guys like me who played at the amateur level only.

When baseball grabs you as a kid, it never lets go. I tried to quit a few times, but I couldn't. Each time I quit, it took longer to get back into baseball shape. There are different levels of conditioning - out of shape, in shape and in baseball shape. The idea is that playing the game competitively means you throw as hard as you can, swing as hard as you can and run as fast as you can. And, just like the major leaguers and all the kids, sometime you hurt when you do that.

My hero is a guy I never met. He was playing baseball when he was 82. He had to quit for awhile because he broke 2 ribs sliding into second base one day.


Also, I teach college kids about economics. They keep me young in spirit with their constant questioning, their eternal optimism and, yes, their occasional flirting. It is a good feeling to earn the respect of a room full of bright 20 year olds. I think I am good at it and I enjoy it.


A funny thing happened after my project was established and continuing. I read Marcus Aurelias 'Meditations' in which he says that whatever your concerns are today about fame, all the people who concern you will be dead in 100 years. Whatever your reputation, it will simply evaporate when all the people who know you are gone.

That's unassailable logic.

Then, news about the Human Extinction Event became interesting. Science suggests that climate change and associated problems spells the certain extinction of the human species very soon, soon as measured in geologic time.

It seems pretty certain that all human life will end within about 150 to 200 years.


If that's true, and I think it is, then maybe a good life is to publicize the event as much as possible and live life with as much grace as possible - and that's my project now

Living with grace today brings some questions.


Are things better or worse today than they were in the past?

Absolutely yes to that question. No doubt about it.

And they are the same and are also different?

Yes. Without a doubt.


There is one thing that is absolutely worse, though. Our economic and political system is completely broken. That is a new thing. And it is a bad thing.

When I grew up in the 50's and 60's, there were a lot of veterans from WW II who were in charge of things. Because they had seen a lot, suffered a lot and inflicted a lot of pain on others, they took a broad view.

There was a consensus on what was best for the country and that consensus carried the day most of the time. Greed and selfishness which harmed the public interest were a sin and a shame.

But now, those former sins are virtues. Greed and selfishness have run amok. The income and wealth disparities are staggering and unheard of in a supposedly democratic society. Many of those who have made it big appear to be totally selfish and uncaring about the common good. In some other countries it is less extreme. There is just no excuse at all for one person to own $80 Billion Dollars, as does Bill Gates. It boggles the mind.

We are returning to the Gilded Age of Robber Barons who stole from everyone until President Teddy Roosevelt busted the Trusts. Teddy got his support from the farmers and laborers who took up pitchforks and rifles to demand fair conditions in the railroads, mines, docks and factories. There was blood in the streets from labor strife then.

Then we got a Great Depression, thanks to the same bankers and banking laws we have now. We were wise enough to elect FDR who created Social Security and a general premise that it is the government's job to protect the poor from the rich among us. The rich have been pissed about that ever since the 1930's. Some of them are still trying to kill Social Security. Those folks are really caricatures of greedy assholes.


My Dad had three sisters and a brother and we had lots of family events with cousins running about and playing. They were good times.

I married three gorgeous women, Jeannetta from Aberdeen, Scotland, Margie from Avenal, Central Valley, California and Yelena who was born in Ukraine and raised in Moscow. I have sired three children I know about; now, I have four grandchildren. It has been a rich life and there is nothing I would do differently. Some of my family has trouble and I help them with love, but it is never enough help and that makes me sad.

My cousin Bev Barnes did a lot of genealogical work on our history. She found that we are directly related to John Adams, the Plantagenet family in England and before that to William the Conqueror, the Capet French Royal Family and even to Roman Emperor Marcus Aurelias. Very interesting.


I graduated from private, liberal arts Whittier College with a BA and no debt and lived in London for 2 years while I completed a master's degree M.Sc. (Econ) at the London School of Economics, also with zero debt. I sailed to England on the Queen Mary. Since then I have traveled to Mexico, Canada, China, Hong Kong, Macau, Philippines, Italy, France, Germany, Russia and Scotland. My daughter was born in Krankenhaus Nordwest, Frankfurt, AM, Germany.


In my working career, I was easily bored and frequently quit a good job to find something new. That's a recipe for learning but not for wealth accumulation. Oh well.

My book HOW TO WRITE A BUSINESS PLAN was first publshed in 1984 by Nolo Press, Berkeley CA and is now in its 12th edition.

I had more or less always been in charge of some things and responsible for critical parts of a company or charity. I tried retiring in 2008 to get a slower pace. The economy did not cooperate and I got really bored again, so I volunteered for Hillary Clinton in her Presidential campaign as a surrogate in some rural areas of California.

Below are some of the positions I have held:

Controller, San Francisco, Six years
Recruited to lead transition from manual to computer-based accounting systems and to supervise day to day financial and HR operations.

Business Manager, Pacific Horticultural Foundation, Six years
Hired to oversee daily business functions for non-profit publisher and educational foundation.

Senior FP&A Analyst, Dart Industries, Chemical Manufacturing. Four years
Recruited to introduce sophisticated financial planning methods, integrate new acquisition.

Development Project Manager, Pacific Coast Properties. Three years.
Recruited to build out two neighborhood shopping centers – sign leases, obtain permits, award contracts, manage construction, and secure financing.

Director of the Graduate School of Business Administration, Armstrong University, Two years.
Recruited to administer and reorganize MBA program.

Professor, Micro- and Macro-Economics, City College of San Francisco, 2003 and continuing. Vista community College, 1998 to 2002.

Economic Analyst, McKinsey and Company, Los Angeles, Two years. Support consultants with industry and company analyses. Founder, Principal, McKeever Institute of Economic Policy Analysis, 1993 to present. Direct small, privately held think tank publishing studies of various countries’ national economic policies.

Business Analyst, Private Business Consultant specializing in business plan development for global and domestic businesses.

Owner, past owner of retail store, manufacturing business, service business as well as consulting and business brokerage firms


Maybe looking back is what old people are supposed to do.

I'll do some of that later, but right now I have to complete a divorce, write and agree to a property settlement, sell a house, buy or rent a house, move, teach five days a week, manage an involuntary commitment of a close relative, find a relationship, practice and play baseball three days per week and try to keep up with some favorite television shows.


Saturday, March 14, 2015

INQUISITION 5: The Physics of Love

Anecdotal experiences have proclaimed the existence of love as a physical force for centuries. Such proclamations frequently included 'telepathy' or mind-to-mind communication between people as well.


One example of that force has been the concept of 'cording' or an emotionally connective bond between a mother and newborn child. This concept of 'cording' between a mother and an infant suggests that the child communicates directly and non-verbally with the mother. Further, this idea has been expanded to include relations between adults in love. A detailed discussion of the concept is presented here

However, the discussion lacks verifiable experiments and relies on anecdotal and metaphysical explanations. The discussion has been unconvincing despite the proclamations of many individuals.


History provides records of many people attempting to prove telepathic communications or attempting to scam money from such attempts. The scam relied on the expectation of the audience that such a thing is possible. Science has been able to disprove these events. A short history of some of the previous attempts to explain the phenomenon, which have been debunked by science, is presented here


It is documented that love can create physical manifestations in the body identical to physical illnesses. Phenylethylamine, dopamine and oxytocin are chemicals that create symptoms of illness and are released by the body during intense love experiences. A summary of studies by DivineCaroline in February 24, 2009 is here


Also, now it is possible to stimulate various portions of the brain with remote wireless devices;


At this time, my reading of the science is that science cannot demonstrate the existence of telepathy or mind-to-mind communication without some form of physical assistance.


But, a new development suggests that it will be demonstrable some day. In the article titled 'Conscious Brain-to-Brain Communication in Humans Using Non-Invasive Technologies,' scientists discuss a demonstration of a long distance transmission of mental images [].

This may be a first step toward developing a telepathic mechanism.


Additionally, quantum physics suggests that telepathy may be theoretically possible in nature.

'In a study reported in the February 26, 1998 issue of Nature (Vol. 391, pp. 871-874), researchers at the Weizmann Institute of Science have now conducted a highly controlled experiment demonstrating how a beam of electrons is affected by the act of being observed. The experiment revealed that the greater the amount of "watching," the greater the observer's influence on what actually takes place.'

Some communication is taking place at a molecular level; science does not have a complete explanation as yet for this phenomenon. But, once explained, this process may well provide proof of love as a natural force.

Friday, March 13, 2015

INQUISITION 4: Honor and Integrity in Politics

As we enter an election cycle, it may become appropriate for candidates to consider these terms. I expect that many voters make judgments about candidates on exactly these issues, although it is not likely that voters realize that is what they are doing.

Successful candidates will be judged on their HONOR and their INTEGRITY.

Using the Google dictionary as a beginning place to examine the terms, which dictionary is very handy although perhaps not authoritative, I find these basic concepts:


INTEGRITY is the quality of being honest and having strong moral principles; moral uprightness. "he is known to be a man of integrity". Synonyms: honesty, probity, rectitude, honor, good character, principle(s), ethics, morals, righteousness, morality, virtue, decency, fairness, scrupulousness, sincerity, truthfulness, trustworthiness. "I never doubted his integrity"


When HONOR is used to describe a person's character, it is an act of a person, when considered as a verb, or the quality of a person, when considered as an adjective.

I leave out of this discussion the act of paying compliments to another and focus on a person's internal character instead.

Honor happens when a person fulfills (an obligation) or keeps (an agreement). Quote: "make sure the franchisees honor the terms of the contract". Synonyms include: fulfill, observe, keep, obey, heed, follow, carry out, discharge, implement, execute, effect.

Honor has been used also to indicate a self sacrifice for the cause of a greater good, as in "he honored the Gods by his bravery."

The above make a case for both Honor and Integrity as demonstrating a consistency in behavior to others. Or, as we say, "Walk the talk', or do what you say you will do.


And yet, Shakespeare has Polonius say Act 1 Scene 3 of Hamlet:"This above all: to thine own self be true, And it must follow, as the night the day, Thou canst not then be false to any man. Farewell, my blessing season this in thee!"

In my mind at least, Polonius' words can conflict with the definitions above. It seems possible to act in consistency with your internal moral principles and yet fail to demonstrate that consistency to others.

One may be behaving morally and yet not seem to be so.

That's a prescription for disaster for any candidate, or any person for that matter.


There was a movie some time ago where a minor criminal figure had some information on a major crime figure and was in a jam. So the protagonist asked the DA if the DA is a man of honor. The DA said he was and that our hero could trust him. So, our hero made a deal with the DA that he would give up the information in exchange for a deal of relocating his family. The DA agreed and used the information to put the major crime figure in jail. But, when the protagonist asked the DA to live up to the deal, the DA said he had more important things to worry about and could not make the deal.

But, said our hero, 'I trusted that you were a man of honor and now my family is in danger.' The DA said, 'That's too bad, then, but I can't help you.'

Similar situations happen routinely in politics where a candidate make a promise to a group of voters and then reneges on the deal after winning the election.


There is a similar issue in the business world. That issue has to do with customer expectations and the idea of quality.

When a business person wants to achieve a reputation for a 'quality' product, he or she has to consider what are the expectations existing in the minds of potential customers.

If the product can deliver more than the expectations, then it will be considered a 'high quality' product. When the product delivers less than the expectations, then it is considered a 'low quality' product.

Note that this has nothing at all to do with the materials, design or price of the product; it is just about expectations.

To make matters more confusing, consumer expectations are changing constantly. The definition of a 'quality or luxury' automobile from 1985 is vastly different from the expectations which fit that description today.


Of course, this means that some business people will make it their business to 'manage customer expectations'. This is so normal that many business have a saying to describe their managing of customer expectations.

The phrase is : 'underselling versus overselling.'

Simply put, 'underselling' is promising less than you deliver, thus creating customer satisfaction and a reputation for high quality; while 'overselling' is promising more than you deliver, thus creating customer dissatisfaction and a reputation for poor quality.


Numerous politicians make a career by overselling their opponents and underselling themselves.

But, the delivery that meets or fails to meet the expecations has nothing to do with policy in the public interest.

The delivery referred to here is a speech or comment about some issue that resonates with voters but has little or nothing to do with the public interest.

For example, if your opponent supports free choice of women in family planning, then you claim that he/she supports murdering babies. Then, then your opponent defends the right to choose birth control or abortion, you can claim that your opponent has met the expectation of a low quality candidate.

Newly Named Anthropocene Era Documents Human Geological Impact

Barry, My Liege :

Just in case you were wondering whether we humans have actually made an impact on the planet, a new study has documented our fossil record.

Although it does not move the Doomsday Clock since it is merely assigning a name to an event recognized previously, it is an indication that human activity has made provable geological changes.

We seem to be entering a new geological era where human activity dominates the planet.

The new era is called the Anthropocene Era.

The record includes proof that human activity is leaving permanent geological markers of irreversible global changes.

Introducing European colonists into the New World caused a die-off of some 50 million people beginning about 1500 AD and perhaps peaking around 1610 AD.

As stated in the Motherboard review by Becky Ferreira, Contributor, the study co-authors are geologists from University College, London, Simon Lewis and Mark Maslin; they told Motherboard :

"This dramatic crash of an agriculturally sophisticated population resulted in mass abandonment of farmland. As wildlife reclaimed these regions, atmospheric carbon dioxide levels noticeably dropped, due to the uptick in carbon storage as a result of reforestation."


Your faithful servant,

Thursday, March 12, 2015

NEW BOOK : Occupy Wall Street Plan 12

Barry, My Liege :

I am pleased to announce the Kindle Edition of my new book : 'Occupy Wall Street Plan 12: A Proposal for Twelve Specific Governmental Actions to Correct Some Economic Imbalances in the United States of America'

This is a short, comprehensive plan to re-invigorate the Economy of the United States and to simultaneously address some of the imbalances which harm many of our citizens.

It is available here :

The EBOOK, Kindle Edition is available for the LOW, LOW price of $0.99.

AND - for 5 DAYS ONLY - it is FREE!.

Starting Monday, March 16 and ending Friday, March 20, you can read the book with no cost at all! Just go to the Amazon link above and ask!

Thank you for your attention,

Your faithful servant,

PS: If you don't have a Kindle Reader and still want to read the book, send an email request to and you will receive the Word .doc file of 160kb by return email.

Saturday, February 28, 2015

INQUISITION 3: The Truth Will Set You Free

'“The truth will set you free” is a common saying in academic circles that want to promote academic freedom and the power of learning. Many universities have this statement emblazoned on a sign near the entrance of a building. But “the truth will set you free” did not originate in academia; Jesus said it in John 8:32. In context, Jesus’ statement has nothing to do with classroom learning. In fact, John 8:32 speaks of a higher form of knowledge than is capable of being learned in a classroom.' []

In this Inquisition about truth I will leave the 'higher forms of knowledge' to others and try to address the temporal world.

More specifically I want to address the question of the difference between what one person perceives as 'the truth' and that another may see as false or not see at all.

If we grant that there is an objective reality of physical objects that we see every day, then we can set aside for now the discussion of the atomic structure of the matter we perceive as solid and simply accept those things as real objects.

When looking at any physical object such as a chair, my perception of the object is affected by the memory I have about how that object looks and acts.

If my interaction with a particular chair has convinced me that the chair has dark brown leather upholstery, then when I see a chair of a similar design and shape I may 'see' a brown chair whereas the chair actually has black leather upholstery. Perhaps my mind is taking a shortcut by 'autocorrecting' my perceptions.

My mind has convinced me that I saw a brown chair instead of the real black chair in front of me. And, if I describe the 'truth' about that chair to you, namely that it is brown, then you will disagree about the 'truth'.

Probably I will take a second look at the actual chair and see the black color and acknowledge that I was mistaken.

That is all well and good for simple truths about tangible objects, but the real difficulties arise when we consider intangible issues.

One intangible issue we face daily is a memory of past events.

Well, science has pretty much proven that our memories are not reliable:

'Now, scientists have an idea of just how unreliable it actually can be. New research released this week has found that even people with phenomenal memory are susceptible to having “false memories,” suggesting that “memory distortions are basic and widespread in humans, and it may be unlikely that anyone is immune,” according to the authors of the study published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS).' [Atlantic Monthly, Erika Hayasaki Nov 18 2013, 3:00 PM]

If you tell me that I had scrambled eggs for breakfast yesterday but I remember having eaten toast and peanut better, we expect a disagreement about the 'truth' will ensue.

Most likely you can insist that I ate scrambled eggs yesterday until you are 'blue in the face' but I will reject your version of 'truth' because my mind is made up.

It has been said by many that 'A man convinced against his will is of the same opinion still'. [This phrase may have begun with Samuel Butler in his 17th-century poem Hudibras. Part III, Canto iii, lines 547-550.]

The practical implication of this concept is that a person who is attempting to get others to agree to a 'truth' or a more abstract concept first has to understand the 'truth' that the audience holds already.

If the preconceptions of the audience disagree with the speaker's message, then it is likely that the message will simply be ignored.

That means that if I want an audience to agree with my 'truth' I have to secure agreement on each of the pre-existing concepts of the audience in order to have them accept my change in their ideas. The audience will simply not accept any 'truth' that conflicts with their existing mindset.

All of this means that it is a very hard task indeed to simply 'tell the truth' so the audience can hear the 'truth'.

And, if the audience is one person, then the speaker must navigate all the preconceptions of that person in order to be heard. If the audience is 100 people, then the same thing applies, but multiplied by 100.

Saturday, February 21, 2015

INQUISITION 2: National Security

Having grown up in a world where children were directed to hide under a school desk to avoid being incinerated in a nuclear holocaust, I think about National Security, specifically the Economic National Security of the United States of America in the 21st Century.

The question today is stark: What will be the effects on Americans of the coming species extinction?

The Inquisitions here are not intended to be a definitive statement of these issues since the United States has a large bureaucracy devoted to these very problems. This space is simply summarizing some of the more obvious questions.


The foundation of National Security is always based on Economic National Security. True security requires that all the citizens of a country share the values and beliefs which guide the leaders. When that happens, then the leaders are given leeway and can move the country forward.

Such a country has a society where few feel excluded or marginalized. The United States of America enjoyed that shared perception for many years, but is currently losing that perception among many of its citizens. This is a potential security threat. Such a threat cannot be managed with police and security. It requires a feeling of inclusion.

But, when the perception of shared hopes is lost, then the nation's leaders are held to a fine standard and are afraid of the population. We have seen just that in many countries recently. Populations which are abused by the leaders want to kill the leaders in turn. Such a cycle creates increasing violence and death. Such a country is weak.

A secure country allows all its citizens to buy into the country and feel a part of it. Once the feeling of belonging is established, then people unleash their creative powers. Then do material living standards rise.

But, material standards won't rise until and unless citizens have that feeling of belonging.

President Obama was correct when he called for American Muslims to be allowed and encouraged to participate in all aspects of United States society. That is the best way to achieve internal security.

As we approach the extinction event, there will be more pressures on society from more desperate people. If the United States demonstrates the weakness of social and economic exclusion or lack of hope among its citizens, then our internal security will be fragile.

The pressures will come from terror, disease, climate change, military action and despair.


There will always be people who seek to destroy a strong society for any number of reasons. If the society is multi-national, as is ours today, then some terrorists from one country will seek to harm the citizens of another.

If that sort of movement becomes organized, then it may require the US to campaign militarily inside another country in order to secure the homeland.

Applying the concept of internal security described above, it is obvious that some countries are more secure than others. And, it is equally obvious that some citizens from a less secure country may try to harm citizens of a more secure country.

As the extinction event becomes more real to more people, terrorist acts will increase.

This is the justification for much of the security apparatus today.


Anti-biotic resistant bacteria and virulent viruses will overwhelm the medical system of the United States as the event comes closer.

A country which cannot manage the health of all its citizens both armed forces and non-military citizens is a weak country.

The only advantage the United States may have is that it will be even worse in other countries.

The USA may exhaust its supplies through caring for the ill of other places in addition to our own. And, that is an effort we make to ensure our own population's health.


Climate change is occurring and will increase. The underlying dynamic of increased carbon emissions, which is the primary cause of climate change, is well documented and irreversible in the practical world.

The major effects of climate change will be sea level rises and droughts in food producing areas.

The droughts will reduce the ability of our species to produce food at a time when the population is expanding rapidly.

Wars will be fought for water and food.


We are seeing wars waged today for religious reasons.

But the underlying causes of these wars may well be the feelings of exclusion and loss of hope on the part of many marginalized people.

As the loss of hope increases we can expect more military and terror actions.

Thursday, February 19, 2015

Debaltseve Moves DOOMSDAY Clock to 2145

Barry, My Liege:

Continued Russian backed aggression in Ukraine kills peace treaty and raises threat of widening war.

Russian forces take rail hub on their way to Mariupol.

Details here:

With Russia's endgame mired in the fog of war, the DOOMSDAY Clock is moved forward one year to 2145 due to the increased risk of a wider war.

Your faithful servant,

Wednesday, February 18, 2015

Personal 'Inquisitions'

So, I'm not sure if the impetus for these 'Personal Inquisitions' or reflections comes from facing my personal mortality or from contemplating the species mortality we all face. No matter, maybe some of the questions here will be of interest.

I'll try not to be bombastic or didactic, but I don't know what will happen.


First, a little more background on using the word 'Inquisition'.

An 'Inquisition' is simply a question.

According to Google's dictionary, an inquisition is "a period of prolonged and intensive questioning or investigation, as in 'she relented in her determined inquisition and offered help'. Synonyms: interrogation, questioning, quizzing, cross-examination, investigation, inquiry, inquest, hearing. Informal grilling, examination"

Although the word is also used to describe an 'ecclesiastical tribunal established by Pope Gregory IX circa 1232', the word is used here in its more generic meaning and does not reference any religious 'Inquisition'.

INQUISITION 1: Live a Good and Moral Life

Or, more completely:

'How can I conduct my daily affairs with decency and compassion while being convinced absolutely that the human species will go extinct during the lifetime of my great-great grandchildren?'

After accepting the conclusion that the human species will go extinct soon, my first reaction was a feeling of complete helplessness. It is like watching a train wreck in slow motion when the train contains all your loved ones.

The 1993 movie 'Fugitive' with Harrison Ford has a scene where his character is watching just such a train wreck. It is a great visual image.

It happened that this revelation occurred simultaneously with my parent's passing.

Second, when considering the species event as opposed to the personal event, there are no tears of relief or comfort for angst this large. The likely reality is stark and unforgiving. And, there is nothing I can do to change the outcome. It will just happen.

The personal event is similarly stark, but it is less traumatic since it was expected and natural.

While considering either event, some can look to their God for relief, but I am not a religious person. There is no comfort for me in a 'belief' in any sort of God or supreme power.

It is apparent that the powers which control the Universe are vast and beyond our ability to understand.

It may be that the human species has constructed the idea of God and of religions to make sense of the unknowable. However, I would rather follow our collective curiosity toward greater understanding of truth than deliberately close off that inquiry by adopting some human construction of the universe. It is better to live with wonder and awe than it is to live with fear and ignorance.

To repeat the opening question, the question is this: how can I live decently in a world of unknowable powers and the certainty of impending doom?

I choose a dual path. First, I make every effort to alert people to the evidence supporting the extinction hypothesis. Perhaps there is a miracle waiting whereby we can avoid the pain and suffering that will accompany the extinction.

Perhaps that hope is merely 'pissing in the wind' and will accomplish nothing.

But, at least it is an effort in a positive direction.

One approach toward positive action is to take an idea from the Stoic philosophers, badly paraphrased as this: The past is over, the future is mostly unknowable and the only thing we possess is today.

That translates to a daily action plan of focusing on the things that I can do today while simultaneously letting go of any and all past actions

And, since any action has consequences for the future, I try to make decisions which will bring about a better future.

And here is the rub: there is no long term future when an extinction event looms ahead.

Some might argue that such a viewpoint suggests a hedonistic and acquisitive life is the best choice. There are lots of examples of that choice, regardless of any concern about species extinction.

But, pleasure and accumulation as a life style do not suit my temperament.

I acknowledge that I am singularly lucky to live as an adult today in the San Francisco Bay Area of California. There are benefits and rewards beyond measure and beyond our ability to enjoy them all.

But all the while, I recognize that my descendants will pay the price for my luxury and I am saddened by that. It is doubly sad that they are not even aware of the fate they face.

All I can do is to apologize in advance.

If my great-great grandchildren are reading this, then I say to them: The disasters you suffer were largely unavoidable. We could have changed things so you would have a better outcome, but we did not recognize the dangers in time and we were not able to overcome our behavioral flaws to act as a species instead of as selfish individuals.

Some of us regret that more than words can express.

To the question: What can I do today to make the troubled lives around me better?

More than regret and apology, what can I do?

Perhaps it is simply this: recognize explicitly that most people really do want to make the world a better place. So tell them - each and every one you see doing that. Tell them that their efforts are noticed by you and that they are doing a good job.

Tuesday, February 10, 2015

DOOMSDAY Clock Stands Still Despite Remote Medical Diagnosing and Ukraine

Barry, My Liege:

Two recent events merit attention when considering the impending demise of civilization and the extinction of humanity. One recent event offsets the other so that the net effect is zero.

The extinction event stands at 2146.

The first event is positive: Researchers at the University of Cambridge have developed a mobile phone app which can provide instant diagnoses of several diseases. Currently, diagnoses of many diseases require examination of a sample by a spectrophotometers or test-specific readers; these devices are expensive and rare.

Soon, using the app in a remote location may easily provide a diagnosis of many diseases. This could reduce the severity of future epidemics by correctly diagnosing disease outbreaks at early stages, when the application is widely available. The backgound is here :

The second series of events is negative and offsets the positive news above. The continuing war in Ukraine appears to be sliding toward an expansion. Any such an expansion has the possibility of spiraling out of control into a continent wide war.

Your faithful servant,

Friday, January 30, 2015

Rich People Are Jerks

Barry, My Liege:

The numbers are in and it ain't pretty.

Rich people are jerks, plain and simple. Scientists have proven it.

The science is discussed here: []

But, to anyone who has followed the discussion, this is not news. This space reviewed Chrystia Freeland on Plutocrats on October 21, 2012
['Plutocrats: The Rise of the New Global Super-Rich and the Fall of Everyone Else', by Chrystia Freeland]

The trouble is that great fortunes hurt the rest of us by their very existence.

Simply being rich is bad for everyone, even if the person does not behave badly.

The wealth accumulation creates evil in and of itself.

Bad behavior just makes it worse, but good behavior cannot ameliorate the bad effects of great wealth.

And, the wealth concentrations are getting worse while they expand around the globe.

According to the UN, the richest 1% of the population now owns 40% of all the world's wealth. []

This divergence is not sustainable.

At some point, violent change will occur.

The conclusion is inevitable and clear - The world will be better when the great fortunes are destroyed.

The destruction may happen with legislation or it may happen with blood.

But, it will happen.

This space has made a point of discussing the phenomenon of excessive wealth in a variety of subjects.

Here is a sampling of some of the statements made in this space in the last few years:

'Tax havens: Super-rich 'hiding' at least $21 trillion', published 7.21.12

'Recovery : Great Fortunes, Great Incomes' - How wealth reduces growth, published 5.18.2012

'Recovery : Monopoly, Revised with 2002 data', How monopolies inhibit growth, published 5.7.12

'USA Existential Crises: New Prince Class, National Security' How US superrich threaten USA middle class, published 4.20.12

'USA Rebellion's Coming' Our situation today is analogous to the situation [REBELLIONS] in England in the 14th Century, published 4.6.12

'Structural Difficulties with Recovery' According to the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, the share of total GDP acounted for by wages and salaries - that is where consumer demand comes from - was around 51% between the late 1940's and about 1969 when it peaked at 53.5%.
Since that peak, it has declined steadily until it stands at a low 44% of GDP today. Published 2.20.12

'Will the USA Collapse?' Some other civilizations which have collapsed, published 1.9.12

'DC Crony Fascism' How the US ruling class appoints cronies and damages the country, published 1.2.12.

'The Real Problem With Banks' Bankers are human - some of them steal, published 11.4.11

There have been other statements in this space as well.

Your faithful servant,

Monday, January 19, 2015

Islamist Oath of Non-Violence

Barry, My Liege:

In today's world, we are concerned justifiably that some Muslim extremists will visit violence on our citizens in the name of religion. While the vast majority of the Muslim population does not support these actions, it is our right and duty to protect ourselves against those extremists who want to harm us.

It is appropriate to ask each person suspected of harboring such violent wishes to swear an oath renouncing the use of violence. If the person refuses to take such an oath, then we are justified in deporting that person or otherwise expelling him or her from our country.

Some people will willingly and falsely sign such an oath while retaining their beliefs in violence. But, most potentially violent extremists will object to signing a document which asks them to renounce the Quran verses which support violence.

By deporting all who refuse to sign such an oath, we will reduce the incidence of violence in our country.

Such an action will create controversy and accusations of discrimination. However, our rights and duties to protect our citizens from violence support such an action regardless of any outcry.

The Quran contains several specific verses which call for violence from believers. We must require that any person suspected of violent tendencies swear an oath renouncing those passages in the Quran which call for violence.

This space has created such an oath which can be used and adapted by any interested party.

The Islamist Oath of Non-Violence is available here :

This oath is designed to force a suspected terrorist to make his or her views known to the police; if the person renounces each and every one of the approximately 100 explicit calls for violence contained in the oath, then the person can be deemed low-risk. On the other hand, if the suspected terrorist refuses to sign each of the renunciations, then that person should be expelled from the country.

Here is the first part of the oath:

'I desire and hereby make a formal renunciation of certain selected verses of the Holy Quran. This oath of renunciation does not change my belief in Allah as the true God and Muhammad as His servant and messenger and of the Last Day. I make this renunciation intentionally, voluntarily and of my own free will, free of any duress or undue influence. Each of the verses is listed below together with my specific renunciation of each. The English text of the verses is taken from the Noble Quran and can be read here :

Quran (2:191-193) - "And kill them wherever you find them, and turn them out from where they have turned you out. And Al-Fitnah [disbelief or unrest] is worse than killing...but if they desist, then lo! Allah is forgiving and merciful. And fight them until there is no more Fitnah [disbelief and worshipping of others along with Allah] and worship is for Allah alone. But if they cease, let there be no transgression except against Az-Zalimun (the polytheists, and wrong-doers, etc.)"

I, __________________________________________________________[Initial here] reject and renounce the Quran verse immediately above.'

Your faithful servant,

Thursday, January 1, 2015

On Ukraine

Barry, My Liege :

Here's the best I can do about Ukraine. Before the current war, it was and is a failed state. It is so corrupt that the population depends on foreign aid for food and fuel. Half the population, in the more industrial east, is very Russian in language and customs. The Ukrainian language is similar to Russian. Both Ukrainian and Russian speaking easterners were pro-Ukraine and did not want to join or move to Russia including those who emigrated west from there. There was a small minority who wanted to break away and join Russia. This is the group Putin co-opted into the war.

The western, more agricultural population half was and is very pro EU and, although friendly to Russia and Russians, did not want any formal ties. There was and is a small minority of literal Nazi holdovers from World War 2 who hate Russians and want to kill them all. This group forms militias, provokes violence and has legislative representation. Most likely this group started violence in most of the recent incidents. There are no facts available to me which support this hypothesis.

The US supports this half of the population in its quest for EU membership. The recent Orange revolution was sponsored by the US. After the failure of the revolution a strongman dictator took power. He favored Russia over the EU. His stance caused riots. He then pivoted to supporting EU membership. He was clearly over his head. He fled to Russia.

After that, Putin started the violent breakaway of the eastern half of the country and annexed Crimea. Crimea has been 100% Russian and is a major naval and military base as well as a beautiful resort city. That war continues with US support for the Kiev, western government and Russian support for the breakaway eastern half.

At the moment the Kiev government is run by a billionaire who seems to have some smarts as well as the advantage of being immune to bribery because he is already rich. The US recently installed an American/Ukrainian woman as finance minister. The US position is that we want the war to continue and we want to take the oil. This is evidenced by the recent law.

The Kiev government has initiated the detailed systematic overhaul of its internal procedures required by the EU for membership; this will take a few years to complete. In the meantime, the government will need about $20 billion more or less to prevent mass starvation. Hundreds of thousands of Russian favoring easterners have emigrated to Russia. Putin's dilemma is that his government is in financial difficulty and cannot afford the costs of supporting the eastern half, but he broke it so he bought it.

The only factors which can come close to explaining any part of this fiasco are greed, stupidity and fear. You can take your pick.

We had better get a handle on this soon or will will regret it.

Your faithful servant,

PS: Please read this for addtional background:

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Fall Country Studies Published

The Mike P. McKeever Institute of Economic Policy Analysis (MIEPA) is pleased to announce the publication of its Fall 2014 country studies.

Three countries have been analyzed by four Specialists: Burma/Myanmar, Hong Kong and the United States of America by two Specialists.

Burma/Myanmar is analyzed by Specialist Y. Thu [A nom de guerre at MIEPA suggestion]; the analysis can be read at

Hong Kong is analyzed by Specialist Lilian Chan. Her analysis can be read at

The United States of America has been analyzed by two Specialists, Specialist David Schilling and Specialist Sigfredo Ramos. Their analyses can be read at

MIEPA can be accessed at

Wednesday, December 24, 2014

A Gift to the Unborn

Barry, My Liege:

In order to understand our future course as a species, scientists have studied fossil and other geologic records of the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) of 56 million years ago.

Earth's climate endured a rapid warming during this period which was roughly similar to the expected warming from our likely future if global warming continues.

The species die-off during this PETM period was concentrated in non-mammalian species; surprisingly, mammals seem to have adapted and thrived.

However, the likelihood of mankind surviving such an event is unlikely.

The onset of the PETM has been linked to an initial 5 °C temperature rise and extreme changes in Earth’s carbon cycle.[]

Geology suggests that the Earth suffered a massive species die-off during the "Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM), alternatively "Eocene thermal maximum 1" (ETM1), and formerly known as the "Initial Eocene" or "Late Paleocene Thermal Maximum". This refers to a climate event that began at the temporal boundary between the Paleocene and Eocene epochs. The absolute age and duration of the event remain uncertain, but are thought to be close to 55.8 million years ago and about 170,000 years of duration.

While massive die-offs are supported by the geologic record, interestingly some of the mammals which appeared in the era, notably horses and primates, appeared and spread around the globe." [Philip D. Gingerich, Geological Society of America, Special Paper 369, 2003, Mammalian responses to climate change at the Paleocene-Eocene boundary: Polecat Bench record in the northern Bighorn Basin, Wyoming, Philip D. Gingerich
Department of Geological Sciences and Museum of Paleontology,
University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109–1079, USA]

'If we do not reverse current trends by close to 2020, however, we may have failed. Global warming will pass the widely acknowledged danger level of two degrees, since there is an approximately 20 year delay between emission reductions and the halting of their warming effect. This report clearly demonstrates that climate change is already highly dangerous at well below one degree of warming. Two degrees would be catastrophic', Kofi A. Annan, President of the Global Humanitarian Forum, []

'One of the clearest pictures of this future is emerging for the U.S. Southwest and a similar meteorological zone that stretches across Italy, Greece and Turkey. Work by Tim Barnett of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Seager and others predicts that these regions will get hotter and drier—and, perhaps more important, shows that the change has already begun. "The signal of a human influence on climate pops up in 1985, then marches on getting strong and stronger," Barnett says. By the MIDDLE OF THE 21st century, the models predict, the climate will be as dry as the seven-year long Dust Bowl drought of the 1930s or the damaging 1950s drought centered in California and Mexico, Seager says: "In the future the drought won't last just seven years. It will be the new norm."'. [Our Extreme Future: Predicting and Coping with the Effects of a Changing Climate, Scientific American, Final part of a three-part series June 30, 2011 |By John Carey]

The midpoint of the 21st century is 36 years from today.

In an earlier post titled 'Only Way To Prevent Disaster - Zero Emissions by 2070', published here on November 28, 2014, I asked that you create model legislation which will reverse the course of global warming if enacted.

That call is repeated here - For the sake of your grandchildren, during the '4th Quarter' of your time as President of the United States, please write that legislation and present it to the Congress of the United States.

It will not pass, but there will be a record of what we have to do.


Political expedience will kill our species.

Your faithful servant,

Sunday, December 14, 2014

Ebola News Pushes Back Doomsday Clock to 2146

Barry, My Liege :

While Ebola is still a terrible disease and still spreading, there are some developments which offer hope that this particular disease may not overwhelm humanity's ability to survive.

First, a vaccine has been deveoped. While testing has been halted temporarily
[], the real possibility of a vaccine demonstrates our specie's ability and will to address the disease.

Secondly, the rise in new cases has slowed in Liberia [].

This demonstrates that humanity has the ability to rise to this challenge. Unfortunately, Ebola treatment in Sierre Leone and Guinea has not increased its effectiveness similarly.

Nevertheless, these two developments are sufficient to push back Humanity's Expected demise by one year to 2146.

Your faithful servant,

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Senate Torture Report

Barry, My Liege :

A copy of the Senate Report on Torture is available at this link : Torture Report.pdf

Note that the file is 67mb and the report has 525 pages.

Your faithful servant,

Tuesday, December 2, 2014

UPDATE, CHRIS ROCK VIDEO - All the Black Mama's Talkin

Barry, My Liege :

This is a suggestion for the African American Community.

It's the 'talk' that mothers can give their sons about what to do when stopped by Police.

I hope it will be taken in a spirit of love.

'Lookit you, boy. You is jes bout all grown. My Lord. I'm real proud of you son and don you forget it neither.

But, you know, there's sumthin we gotta talk about.

Now you know that there are some white folks out there who hate us just because we black. Now there ain't nothing we can do about that. They just gonna hate. When you meet one, just be polite and go about your business. But, don't do nothing stupid, don't do nothing stupid.

But son, I wanna talk about Police now. Boy, you is gonna be stopped and talked to by Police. A lot. That's just the way it is.

Now, it don't matter why they talk to you, it's just gonna happen.

The thing you gotta remember is that Police don't know your mind. All they know is your actions. Police don't read minds and they all packin. Police just like walking bombs ready to go off.

And remember, you don't know squat about Police mind. Maybe they are looking for someone who looks just like you and who just shot a store owner.

You gotta remember that they under pressure, so don't be stupid. Don't go givin them a reason to shoot, 'cause they will.

Now if you go and do some stupid crap that hurts somebody, like stealin and crashin a car, well Police gonna catch up with you. They gonna be pissed. When they catch you, they probably gonna hit you some. And, you know what, you probably deserve it for doing the stupid.

But, they won't kill you for that. You want to be killed for stupid stuff, go and hang around with the drug gangs. They shoot you for any old reason. Police are better than that.

There some trash talk out there that white Police kill black kids because the kid is black.

Well, that's just plain wrong.

Police kill anyone who makes them fear for their own life. If you make a Police afraid of you, he gonna kill you.

That's his job. Police job is to stop any folks who make them fear for their life.

And, it don't matter you black, white, yellow, brown or red. If Police are afraid of you they gonna shoot you.

Ain't got nothing to do with color, it's only about fear.

And, if Police afraid of you, they ain't gonna ask a buncha questions. It's gonna be 'FREEZE' or some such. And if you don't, they gonna shoot.

Police don't know your mind, only what you do.

So, don't do playing around, acting the fool while you don't mean no harm. How Police gonna know you foolin? They don't and you'll end up dead.

UPDATE: Just in case what I'm saying don't make no sense, watch this funny as hell video from Chris Rock:

Come back to me every day, Son. I don't know what I'll do without you.

Your faithful servant

Friday, November 28, 2014

Only Way To Prevent Disaster - Zero Emissions by 2070

Barry, My Liege :

'The world must cut CO2 emissions to zero by 2070 at the latest to keep global warming below dangerous levels and prevent a global catastrophe, the UN warns.

By 2100, all greenhouse gas emissions – including methane, nitrous oxide and ozone, as well as CO2 – must fall to zero, the United Nation's Environment Programme (Unep) report says, or the world will face what Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change scientists have described as “severe, widespread and irreversible” effects from climate change.'


Considering that the world's economies are carbon based, it is unlikely that such a target is achievable.

This likelihood moves the Humanity Doomsday Clock to 2145.

Your faithful servant,

Saturday, November 15, 2014

New Cold War Without Honor

Barry, My Liege :

One of the defining issues of the Post World War II era was the Cold War.

In addition to occasional shooting wars, the Cold War was mostly a quiet contest for economic supremacy fought by countries with opposing economic ideologies.

The Socialist countries were led by the Soviet Union and China with their similar Socialist economic systems.

The West was led by the United States and Western Europe with its Free Market Capitalistic systems.

Partisans on each side were convinced that only their system would bring the greatest good to the largest number of people.

It was a moral struggle as well as a political battle. The spies and politicians of the Era claimed the moral high ground and its attendant honors.

Defeating the opponent in a political contest or covert operation of that Cold War became a badge of Honor.

However, the differentiating economic structures which defined the era have pretty much disappeared.

It appears as Karl Marx predicted; namely, the two systems have converged.

The new system contains the remnants of a Free Market system, but has slowly morphed into an Oligarchic model with great wealth and income concentrations.

Both the Russian and United States economies have become similar Oligarchies.

Read details of Russia's system here :

Read details of the United States' system here :

Today we can see some of the vestiges of that Era's Cold War tactics being reconstituted in today's world.

But, the two competing systems have similar ideologies.

In this case, there is no moral good or honor to be claimed in any victory.

The New Cold War is simply a turf battle between competing gangs of Oligarchs.

Your faithful servant,

Monday, November 10, 2014

Corporate Personhood - Lock 'Em Up

Barry, My Liege :

Inasmuch as corporations are recognized as persons when making campaign contributions, then it seems appropriate that they should be recognized as persons when a crime is committed.

When a natural person commits a crime, he or she faces penalties like fines and imprisonment.

While we have a system of fines in place to punish corporations guilty of law breaking, we do not have a provision to place the offending corporation in prison.

After all, it is hard to place the collection of legal documents which comprise the 'soul' of the corporation into a jail cell.

However, we do have in place already a system whereby outside, court appointed persons can assume the management of the corporation for a temporary, defined period of time. We can do that already to some banks and financial institutions under existing law; it is time to expand the process to all corporations.

It is called Receivership and you can read about it here :

It seems fair and just that an entity which has some of the rights of natural persons should have also some of the duties of natural persons, namely the duty to obey the law or forfeit freedom.

When a corporation is convicted of a serious crime, a judge should have the ability to both fine the corporation and to appoint a receiver to manage the affairs of the business for a pre-determined period of time.

The receiver would act in place of or replace the managers who participated in creating the crime. Those executives would be sent home without compensation for the duration of the receivership.

The primary objective of the receiver would be to protect the existing assets of the shareholders. He would be prohibited from taking any risks with those assets to ensure their prerservation.

The practical effect of such a program would be to seriously damage the corporation since taking risks with corporate assets is what companies are supposed to do in order to prevent any loss of ground or market position to the competition.

That effect likely would become a serious incentive to the Board of Directors to be sure crimes are not committed since the loss of momentum from a receivership would have the result of reducing the market value of the company's shares.

Remember, My Liege, what goes around, comes around.

Your faithful servant,

Saturday, November 8, 2014

Obama Legacy - Climate Change

Barry, My Liege :

In your Fourth Quarter as President of the United States of America [POTUS], you will be unable to implement substantial legislative changes due to a Republican controlled Congress.

And yet, humanity faces severe dangers from increased global warming. The IPCC 2014 Summary for Policymakers [available here :] details many of the harms we will face.

My Liege, it is your opportunity to create and propose legislation which would, if implemented, stop climate change. Perhaps you and your associates can describe exactly what humanity must accomplish in order to prevent our mutual extinction.

We recognize the reality that such legislation will not be adopted now.

Events will become worse over the years.

Our expectation is that future conditions may force policy makers to consider actions unthinkable now.

To be successful in the future, your proposals will have to be extreme and not incremental. They will also have to be procedurally correct; that is to say, the legislation should be thoroughy developed so that when it is enacted, it will accomplish its goals.

You will be giving a helping hand to our grandchildren by providing specific and effective policies to save our species.

It is a worthy endeavor, My Liege.

Your faithful servant,

Saturday, October 11, 2014

Cynical Investment Strategy

Barry, My Liege:

Despite the looming shadow of doom facing humanity, some souls may be wondering about how to make good investments.

Personally I think spending some time in the sunshine and playing with grandchildren is the best possible investment; but, others may disagree.

Consider that the recent financial crisis consisted of an asset bubble in real estate followed by crashes of markets for all assets and commodities and a pretty severe recession.

Is it likely to happen again?

These events were caused by the felonious bankers at the top of our financial system who committed massive frauds in order to make thermselves richer.

And, My Liege, these are some of the very fellows who have bankrolled your political career.

For shame, My Liege; for shame.

You can read the full story from William K. Black as seen on the Bill Moyers show here

I digress.

The same criminals who perpetrated the recent crisis are not only free from prison, they are still in charge of our financial system.

It's a sure bet that we will see another asset bubble followed by a financial crisis and collapse. After all, it is what they do.

Were I to look for coming asset bubbles I would look for commodities essential to life. Although we cannot monetize air, we can surely monetize water. In fact we are doing so around the world.

I would look for rapid price increases in essential commodities like water, grains, metals, oil and so forth as a possible sign of an asset bubble.

If signs of a bubble are visible, then it may well be time to sell off physical assets and convert to cash and hold the cash while looking for distressed assets.

Your faithful servant,

Friday, October 3, 2014

Victory vs. ISIL

Barry, My Liege :

What does Victory look like in a bombing campaign against ISIL?

Good question.

The reality is that we cannot bomb ISIL out of existence. Even if we tried carpet style bombing from WW II, there will be some survivors and many innocent casualties. The survivors will be bitter.

Our aim is different. Our goal should be to take away ISIL's heavy weapons and their mobility so that they are reduced to foot and animal movement and small arms.

Once they are reduced to fugitive criminals, then they are susceptible to police and militia encirclement and capture. At that point the bombing has been successful.

Of course this strategy requires a competent military with foot soldiers on the ground to complete the degradation of ISIL. Our air campaigns can be a support but not the main force.

In the long run we recognize that there will always be Islamic militants. Their sacred text calls for physical violence against all who do not follow the 'correct' path. It seems that the path is determined as 'correct' by the group with the most guns.

While we may not be at war with them, they are at war with us and will be for the forseeable future. Our security requires that we recognize that for what it is.

Also, in the long run, our security is dependent on the citizens of the area choosing a responsive government which can respond to concerns of all people.

In the past we have chosen to support strong but corrupt rulers to keep the peace whenever we could not install an elective democracy. The past few years have shown that such a strategy is no longer viable.

While we cannot insist on Western style elective democracies as a cookie cutter model for all countries, we can monitor and support good and stable governance under a variety of models.

New models are called for. Any successful model will be specific to the culture and country from which it is developed.

The good news is that there are millions of bright people dedicated to just such a solution; the bad news is that there is no other option available which will provide for the National Security of the United States.

Your faithful servant,

Saturday, September 27, 2014


Barry, My Liege:

While there is a positive event which may serve to delay the DOOMSDAY event, several other events are more negative.

On balance, Humanity lost at least one more year and is now forecast to go extinct in 2146.

The positive event was the citizen march of about 300,000 people in New York together with similar demonstrations around the world; political pressure from masses of citizens is perhaps the most effective lobbying tool available. All marchers demanded political action on global warming.

A negative event was the United States declaring war on ISIL. This is an indication that Muslim fundamentalism is gaining ground. There are many radical, barbaric Islamic organizations around the world :

A second negative event is that Ebola has escaped from the areas of its origination and threatens to infect as many as one million people. The CDC predicts 1.4 million people will be infected :

It will probably move from Africa soon. The following article explores the control question but is out of date since it was published on September 3, 2014 :

Additionally, several very unpleasant viruses have migrated to Central and South America; read about dengue fever here :

Your faithful servant,

Thursday, September 18, 2014

National Security vs. Bloodthirsty Quran

Barry, My Liege:

Let us be clear, the Quran is a bloodthirsty document, explicitly calling for violence.

One quote is below:

Quran (5:33) - "The punishment of those who wage war against Allah and His messenger and strive to make mischief in the land is only this, that they should be murdered or crucified or their hands and their feet should be cut off on opposite sides or they should be imprisoned; this shall be as a disgrace for them in this world, and in the hereafter they shall have a grievous chastisement"

Read more here :

Rational people conclude that some of those who treat the Quran as a religious text may be violent criminals, using religion as an excuse for criminal behavior.

The National Security of the United States of America requires that all who will not renounce violence in the name of religion, nor disavow the Quran passages which call for violence, should be permanently barred from the country.

Your faithful servant,

Friday, September 12, 2014

UPDATE - Kuwait - ISIL

Barry, My Liege :

UPDATE Kuwait -

It appears likely that money to fund ISIL funnels through Kuwaiti banks and individuals.

Verify the accusation, then blow them up.

See it here:


It is time to take out ISIL's oil smuggling networks. Cut off the revenue stream.

They will still get some cash from ransom, slavery, extortion and a few slippery oil smugglers, BUT we will not degrade ISIL until and unless we take away their money. Hit the fields, trucks, refineries - all of it. Some innocent slaves will die and we regret that. It is the price of war.

It is good that you commit the USA to take out ISIL, for they are evil.

But, My Liege, be aware that the logic of events may require that Assad be gone from Syria in order to complete the destruction of ISIL.

With Assad, there is a rally point for factions to gather both for and against ISIL or Assad.

Without Assad, there will be no rally point.

The campaign will be more successful if there is no rally point.

Your faithful srvant,

Ukrainian Situation, September 12, 2014

Mayank Kumār
Delhi College of Engineering

"Mike Russians are not doing it [i.e., taking Ukrainian towns]:

What Kiev fears most is that the "rebels" will take Mariupol, then proceed west along Highway E-58 taking Kherson (on the Dnieper River) to Melitopol. then onto Mikolaev (Nickolaev) - creating a massive "land bridge" between Ukraine and Crimea, then straight into Odessa. This is the ONLY reason Kiev has agreed to a "cease fire" and negotiations!

Odessa is the main port in Ukraine and without it, the Kiev government is dead. The rebel forces could simply head 60 Km to the northwest to link up with the extremely well-equipped and VERY pro-Russian Transdnestr army and the 2,000 Russian regular army troops their. (Transdnestr has TWICE voted overwhelmingly in referenda to declare its independence from Moldava and to join the Russian Federation.)

What many foreigners do NOT know is that southern Ukraine is VERY anti-Kiev, especially in Odessa. )Forget the "Odessa Massacre" in which 40-plus Odessans were burned alive in a fire set by Right-Sector fanatics. These Right-Sector folks were bussed in from Kiev and do NOT represent the people of Odessa.

Odessa, much like eastern Ukraine, especially hates to be "dictated to" by the oligarchs in Kiev - when the main source of income for Ukraine are the mines and industries in eastern Ukraine and the port of Odessa, also a literally a "tourist paradise" which draws HUGE numbers of Russian and Western tourists eager to throw away their money- which Kiev sucks away.

Thus, the rebel armies would be wlecomed as they moved along the southern coast to Odessa, with many people volunteering to fight the pro-Kiev forces. Such a military maneuver would split Ukraine in half, cutting off the Kiev government from the sea - and from its most profitable cities.

That is why Kiev MUST stop the rebel movement at Mariupol and is the SOLE REASON Kiev is now willing to enage in a "cease fire" and negotiations at this time.

I would add that I do NOT think that the people of Odessa would vote to join the Russian Federation, but would much prefer total INDEPENDENCE from the corrupt Kiev government, perhaps forming a FEDERATION with other oblasts in southern and eastern Ukraine, along with the Transdnestr Republic."

Friday, August 29, 2014

U S Policy Toward Syria

Barry, My Liege :

In several ways, our decision to stay out of the Syrian situation has helped our current policy choices.

Many people paid for our choices with their lives, pain and suffering through their involuntary uprooting to refugee position. We cannot ignore their sacrifice.

The overriding judgment remains - Assad is a butcher who must be killed.

The ghosts of his victims past and present demand it.

But, time has focused some of the forces opposing him into a single, evil faction, namely ISIL.

Here's how we should proceed :

1. Kill Assad with a bomb, a big bomb, not a nuke, but a really big one. It is a war, after all.

Maybe we lost a missile or it malfunctioned, or something. Maybe an ISIL suicide bomber made it into the palace. Who knows? Oops. Our sincere apolologies for any action we took which hastened his untimely demise. we will strive to ensure that it will not happen again. Our sincere condolences to the survivors.

2. Systematically destroy ISIL's war making equipment from the air regardless of where it is - Iraq, Syria, Turkey, Lebanon, Jordan, Iran or Saudi Arabia. Allow no safe haven for ISIL.

3. Locate the banks which collect and transfer funds to ISIL. Blow them up. Especially the branch close to or in Syria.

4. Do not commit US combat troops to the ground; use air power and friendly forces to wither ISIL.

5. Contact Syria Army officers after Assad is dead with an offer: Stay and build a stable society under a temporary military government toward a goal of elections in five years. To do so, they must agree to swear loyalty to the new government, renounce the old including all Ba'ath party ties and allow a political officer from the non-ISIL opposition forces in every unit of more than 2000 men. The PO will report any infractions to a special court for prosecution.

Those who abide and commit to a new regime are allowed to serve. Those who refuse serve prison terms.

The locals - Iraq, Syria, Turkey, Lebanon, Jordan, Iran and Saudi Arabia - agree to provide manpower and/or money to secure a peaceful Syria.

6. Construct secure refugee camps from neighboring lands with neighboring funds to give respite to the refugees.

As you understand, My Liege, the USA cannot fix this area. But, taking the actions above will lessen the evil there.

Your faithful servant,

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

Russia Invades Ukraine, Starts WW III

Barry, My Liege :

Russian troops have been captured in Ukraine and Russian military convoys have crossed the border.

Putin/Poroshenko talks are a smokescreen to hide the troop movements.

With a military response likely, WW III has begun.

This moves the HUMANITY DOOMSDAY CLOCK forward to 2147.

Your faithful servant,

Friday, August 22, 2014

UPDATE - ISIL - Kill 'Em All

Barry, My Liege :

New thoughts.

Some Brits and Yanks may die when we target ISIL. Shed no tears - they lose their privileges when they declare war on their country and innocent civilians and behead American journalists.

Targeting ISIL in Syria may help Assad - So what? Primary target is ISIL, temporary gains for Assad can't be helped. Don't give any safe havens.

While your remarks on ISIL [] were heartfelt, Americans are reluctant to enter another war.

Rightfully so.

And yet, ISIL cannot continue its rampage of torture, slavery and mass killings.

It may not be a permanent solution, My Liege, but we seem to have the power to render them into the stone age.

We should do that.

Let's bomb every thing with wheels located in ISIL controlled areas.

Iraq? Yes.

Syria? Hell yes.

We can do it without American troops on the ground by ramping up the drone and airstrike campaigns.

Secure agreements and cooperation from both the EU and neighboring countries, then proceed to bomb them widely and thoroughly. Don't forget Shoulder mounted missiles as well.

They will be less a threat when they have only AK 47's and sniper rifles. Then we can rely on Kurds and Iraqis for ground troops.

The ISIL rampage has taken a year off the HUMANITY DOOMSDAY CLOCK.

It is time to get serious.

Your faithful servant,

Thursday, August 14, 2014

RATs Monsanto [Again] and Bayer [Real American Terrorists] Hide Bee Damage

Barry, My Liege :

When corporations buy science so that the science shows that corporate actions do not harm people when the reality is that their actions do harm people, they are terrorists.

Now it comes that a class of insecticide is killing bees at an alarming rate. If there are no bees, there will be no fruits, vegetables or flowers.

The insecticides are applied in huge amounts to entire fields of plants.

The bees are dying.

Scientists across the world are studying the interactions of "..neonicotinoid pesticides on pollinators and the impact of the EU ban on three neonicotinoid pesticides on farmers' crop growing practices."

Read the article by Dr. Joseph Mercola, DO, here :

The thing is, My Liege, both Bayer and Monsanto, both of which make significant profits selling the products, are providing grant money to some of the scientists in the study.

The conclusion is inescapable: Monsanto and Bayer are buying science so that their actions harming people for money will be unnoticed.

This is not acceptable, my Liege.

Your faithful servant,

Sunday, August 10, 2014

On Greed

Barry, My Liege :

The HUMANITY DOOMSDAY CLOCK in this space presents a gloomy future event for our species.

Let us be clear about the concept.

There will be no escape from this event, neither for the privileged nor the weak.

It will be Biblical in its proportions.

All will die.

The HUMANITY DOOMSDAY CLOCK's prediction is based on logical projections of current trends.

This raises two questions.

The first question asks whether or not the event is preventable with species-wide behavioral changes.

Regarding the first question: Even with resolute and extreme behaviorial changes, it is likely that the earth system is already damaged irreparably and cannot be repaired in time to save our species.

There remains a remote possiblity that such behaviorial changes, if instituted, may affect the event's outcome.

It is a remote possibility.

And, it is all we have.

The second question asks: What is the likelihood that our species can change its behavior sufficiently?

Regarding the second question, the collective behavior changes are so fundamental to our societies that it is HIGHLY unlikely that we will change in time to have any efffect.

Our current behaviors are driven by simple greed. It is not enough that we are greedy and see no fault in harming our neighbor's family and future for the sake of a monetary gain. We have made greed the basis of our economic system and have exalted it to a virtue.

The simple fact is that we cannot afford greed any longer.

Greed is bad.

Greed will murder 7 billion people through violence, disease and hunger.

Greed has always been a poison in our system, but now it is controlling.

If by some magic we can recognize that simple truth, perhaps we can change our decision making systems.

But, in order to change the event, we will need to make ALL decisions based on likely effects on our species.

While this space can suggest numerous specific actions toward the goal of saving our species, such discussions appear pointless until and unless a political consensus on the need for such changes arises.

Now, perhaps it will be enough simply to make the case while postponing discussions of specific remedies until our species presents the will for change.

Your faithful servant,

Tuesday, August 5, 2014

Arctic Methane

Barry, My Liege :

One of the consequences of global warming is a melting of Arctic ice shelfs and tundra and a consequent large release of trapped methane gas into the atmosphere.

Large releases of this methane would be catastrophic for humanity since such releases would accelerate global warming significantly.

Although this process has already begun, it is not occurring rapidly enough for concern - at the moment.

For background, read this article :

This space will provide updates as they become avaiable.

Your faithful servant,

Wednesday, July 30, 2014

El Nino Odds Decline, But DOOMSDAY Clock Stays at 2149

Barry, My Liege :

The odds of an El Nino event this rainy season which would relieve the California drought have just declined.

See this :

While this news has the potential of bad news for California and the Western United States, it does not justify moving the DOOMSDAY CLOCK at this time.

But, it bears watching should the drought possibility expand geographically to the Central Plains Bread Basket of the United States and other countries as well.

Your faithful servant,

Saturday, July 26, 2014

Nuclear Plant Failure Moves DOOMSDAY to 2149

Barry, My Liege :

As an attempt to compensate for continuing failures in nuclear power plants around the world and the resulting danger to humanity from radiation, United States nuclear power plant manufacturers proposed a modular approach.

The idea was to build new nuclear plants in stages so that costs could be reduced and so that safety could be increased.

It did not work.

It was more expensive and less safe than existing, faulty technologies.

Here is a discussion of the failure:

Here's what the failure means.

First, we cannot rely on nuclear power as a safe power source for the future.

Since we as humanity will have less power available, the social stresses will increase. As those stresses increase, the path to our species die-off event comes closer.

Secondly, even if the new technology is improved so that the safety and cost considerations coincide with current technologies, the risks to humanity from radiation will increase as a result of additional nuclear plants.

Lastly, it is an additional demonstration that, as a species, we do not have the ability to manage nuclear power.

One of the continuing themes of DOOMSDAY is that the machines we design today are beyond the skills of the people who are tasked with their operation. For example, the 2013 airliner crash in San Francisco was a result of the pilots' inability to land the plane.

The new approach to nuclear plant construction validates that theme.

Your faithful servant,

Thursday, July 24, 2014

Superbugs Kill 3 Billion

Barry, My Liege :

What? You think the headline is overstated and hyperbolic?

I hope so, My Liege.

We both hope so.

But, but...........

There are several bacteria which have evolved and are now resistant to most antibiotics.

This means that hospitals keep them under control with extensive measures. Today, 2014, those extra-ordinary measures keep us safe from past scourges like TB and sepsis caused by staphylococcus aureus.

A longer list of the superbugs is below.

But, consider this My Liege : Hospitals try to operate with occupancy rates between 60% and 90%. These ratios ensure the best use of scarce resources like nurses, physicians and beds.

What will happen to the extraordinary measures taken today to control the superbugs when all the hospitals are faced with occupany of 200%, or 900%?

That's what will happen as we approach the Doomsday Event.

As populations outstrip food and water, sanitary conditions will deteriorate and violence will escalate.

Simply put, hospital staff will be overwhelmed and will be unable to prevent the superbugs from escaping to the general population. That will bring us face to face with massive epidemics of bacterial diseases for which we have no cure.

And, My Liege, this scenario does not acount for the super viruses like Ebola which are already killing many people.

Here is a list of some bacteria which have evolved and are resistant to most antibiotics [Source -]:

1. Penicillin, methicillin, tetracycline and erythromycin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, Community-acquired MRSA (CA-MRSA) has now emerged as an epidemic that is responsible for rapidly progressive, fatal diseases, including necrotizing pneumonia, severe sepsis, and necrotizing fasciitis.

2. Streptococcus pyogenes (Group A Streptococcus: GAS) infections like necrotizing fascitis require supportive care in an intensive-care unit.

3. Streptococcus pneumoniae is responsible for pneumonia, bacteremia, otitis media, meningitis, sinusitis, peritonitis and arthritis; it shows increasing resistance to to penicillin and other beta-lactams

4. Multidrug-resistant Enterococcus faecalis and Enterococcus faecium are associated with nosocomial infections.

5. Pseudomonas aeruginosa is a highly prevalent opportunistic pathogen.

6. Clostridium difficile is a nosocomial pathogen that causes diarrheal disease in hospitals world wide. Clindamycin-resistant C. difficile was reported as the causative agent of large outbreaks of diarrheal disease in hospitals in New York, Arizona, Florida and Massachusetts between 1989 and 1992. Geographically dispersed outbreaks of C. difficile strains resistant to fluoroquinolone antibiotics, such as ciprofloxacin and levofloxacin, were also reported in North America in 2005.[

7. Salmonella and E. coli hospitalize and kill many people. Some strains of E. coli have become resistant to multiple types of fluoroquinolone

8. Acinetobacter baumannii - On November 5, 2004, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported an increasing number of Acinetobacter baumannii bloodstream infections in patients at military medical facilities in which service members injured in the Iraq/Kuwait region during Operation Iraqi Freedom and in Afghanistan during Operation Enduring Freedom were treated. Most of these showed multidrug resistance (MRAB), with a few isolates resistant to all drugs tested.

9. Klebsiella pneumoniae carbapenemase (KPC)-producing bacteria are a group of emerging highly drug-resistant Gram-negative bacilli causing infections associated with significant morbidity and mortality whose incidence is rapidly increasing in a variety of clinical settings around the world.

10. Mycobacterium tuberculosis

Tuberculosis is increasing across the globe, especially in developing countries, over the past few years. TB resistant to antibiotics is called MDR TB (Multidrug Resistant TB).

11. Neisseria gonorrhoeae is a sexually transmitted pathogen where antibiotic resistant strains predominate.

Your faithful servant,

Wednesday, July 23, 2014

World No-Fly Zones Hasten DOOMSDAY

Barry, My Liege :

There are many places today where armed groups possess Surface to Air Missiles [SAM's] capable of shooting down any plane; some of the missiles can down aircraft flying at more than 50,000 feet. As a reference, Malaysian Airlines Flight 17 was hit at 33,000 feet.

Humanity loses some of our capacity to adjust when our mobility is resticted by hostile groups with SAM's.

Here's a list of countries where many airplanes are at risk today :

1. Libya
2. Syria
3. Iraq
4. Israel
5. Gaza
6. Northern Ethiopia
7. North Korea
8. Somalia
9. Eastern Ukraine
10. Mali
11. Chad
12. Congo
13. Kenya
14. Yemen
15. Egypt's Sinai Peninsula
16. Iran
17. Afghanistan.
18. Central African Republic
19. Islamic State - parts of Syria and Iraq

Read this for details :

Any expansion of these no-fly zones hastens our species Doomsday Event.

Your faithful servant,

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

DOOMSDAY CLOCK - 2150 AD, It's Ticking

Barry, My Liege :

It may be comforting to think that our species Doomsday Event is more than 100 years in the future. If that's true, then we can just enjoy our time until then, right?

Rest assured, My Liege, that is not the case.

We will experience a constantly rising level of tragedy and violence until then.

Experts disagree on whether the Doomsday Event will be total or will leave a residue of 500 million people alive.

Consider that there are about 7 billion people alive today.

That means at least 6.5 billion people will die by the Event.

We will die from many causes.

Starvation and disease will take a toll as will violent conflicts.

All these exist today but will increase in severity over time.

Here are the active armed conflicts which took more than 1,000 lives in 2013 :

1. Israeli–Palestinian conflict, 1203 deaths so far in 2014

2. Afghanistan, 138 deaths so far in 2014

3. Somalia, 854 deaths this year

4. Nigeria, 5026 deaths this year

5. Pakistan, 2316 dead this year

6. Drug War, Mexico - 66 dead so far this year

7. Egypt, 79 dead so far this year

8. Syria, 28680 dead so far this year

9. Iraq, 7422 dead this year

10. Central African Republic, 1211 dead so far

11. South Sudan, 415 dead so far

12. Ukraine, 356 dead so far not including Malaysian Airline Flight 17

The list of additional conflicts which did not meet the 1,00 death threshold in 2013 is even longer, my Liege. See

It is likely that armed conflicts arise from groups of people who perceive that they are marginalized in their quest for food, water and shelter.

It is likely also that the number of people so marginalized will increase as the planetary boundaries are crossed more severely.

Your faithful servant,

Monday, July 21, 2014


Barry, My Liege :

The DOOMSDAY CLOCK will note human actions where humanity fails to act collectively by reducing the time we have left. It will note instances of where we act collectively by extending the DOOMSDAY date.

As a species, our collective actions create the conditions for our demise in the forseeable future.

Science has recorded previous species die-offs on the Earth.

Humanity is susceptible to a similar species die-off or civilization collapse.

There are 9 planetary boundaries which, if crossed, will destroy the Earth's ability to support human life. []

We have already crossed several boundaries according to journalist Alice Friedemann.

CLIMATE CHANGE - The boundary is 350 ppm of CO2, currently we are at 387 ppm. The average for June 22014 is 401.

OCEAN ACIDIFICATION - Aragonite saturation state in surface water boundary is 2.75 Omega units, currently we are at 2.90.

STRATOSHPERIC OZONE DEPLETION - Ozone concentration (Dobson Units) boundary is 276, we are at 283 today.

GLOBAL NITROGEN CYCLE - Rate of Nitrogen removal from atmosphere (million tons per year) - Boundary is 9, we are at 133 now.

RATE OF BIODIVERSITY LOSS - Extinction rate (species per million per year) - Boundary 10, currently we see more than 100 species go extinct per year.

We are close to crossing the boundary for other planetary boundaries.

GLOBAL PHOSPHORUS CYCLE - Phosphorus rate of flow into oceans (million tons per year) - boundary is 12, we are now at 10.

DEPLETION OF FRESH WATER (cubic km per year) - Rate of human consumption boundary 4000, currently we are at 2400.

LAND SYSTEM CHANGE - No quantifiable boundary, but we currently use 35% of the land surface for crops and animals. Little or no more arable land is available.

AEROSOL LOADING - Boundary unknown but damage is evident.

CHEMICAL POLLUTION - Boundary unknown, but damage to human health is well documented. Between 80,000 and 100,000 different chemicals are traded globally.

Your faithful servant,